TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12443729
Played Aug 16Finished
Jakub Horky
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118116––––
Miroslav Cyrus
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJakub Horky above · Miroslav Cyrus below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6
54 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Horky 4–0 Miroslav Cyrus Miroslav Cyrus has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Horky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyrus form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorky 1.50 / Cyrus 2.50
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Horky)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12443729
Horky1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 27 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Cyrus2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 17 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHorky4wins
AwayCyrus0wins
1 of 4 to a deciderHorky leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horky2Cyrus2n = 4split evenly
S2Horky4Cyrus0n = 4Horky took 4 of 4
S3Horky4Cyrus0n = 4Horky took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHorkyCyrusH − CBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match38.828.5+10.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorkyCyrusBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 148 vs 75 / 16750.7%44.9%75 / 148 vs 75 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorkyHorky 1.50/Cyrus 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Horky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Horky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 16 · 11:05J. Horky—71111113M. Cyrus—113951
WJun 21 · 13:10J. Horky—811118113M. Cyrus—11841152
WJun 21 · 12:35J. Horky—1111113M. Cyrus—7680
WJan 2 · 12:05J. Horky—1111113M. Cyrus—8990
J. Horky10
LAug 23 · 13:43J. Horky1.4011771252V. Kaisler2.754111110113WAug 23 · 12:05J. Horky1.3313711113M. Cyrus3.251111821WAug 23 · 11:05J. Horky1.731111113V. Kaisler2.009550WAug 23 · 10:05J. Horky1.28711811113R. Jaros3.3511511672WAug 21 · 21:35M. Chmelicek1.738840J. Horky2.001111113WAug 21 · 20:05J. Hajek2.001051391J. Horky1.73121111113WAug 21 · 19:35R. Jaros2.7510960J. Horky1.401211113LAug 21 · 18:35J. Horky1.671371111132M. Chmelicek2.10151193153WAug 16 · 12:05J. Horky1.67911117113M. Chmelicek2.1011631132WAug 16 · 11:05J. Horky1.5371111113M. Cyrus2.38113951
M. Cyrus10
WSep 4 · 21:45M. Cyrus2.101111314113M. Rojka1.67135111282WSep 4 · 20:35M. Cyrus1.44111011113R. Jaros2.63412771WSep 4 · 19:05M. Chmelicek1.61921131M. Cyrus2.2011119113WSep 4 · 18:35M. Rojka1.50119117112M. Cyrus2.50811811133LSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:35P. Pesout1.831111113M. Cyrus1.837230LSep 2 · 15:35M. Cyrus2.251760M. Flesar1.571111113WSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113LAug 23 · 12:05J. Horky1.3313711113M. Cyrus3.251111821LAug 16 · 11:05J. Horky1.5371111113M. Cyrus2.38113951
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