TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12480498
Played Aug 23Finished
Radim Jaros
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111315411––––
Miroslav Cyrus
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingRadim Jaros above · Miroslav Cyrus below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 63 set 3, 4-11
63 points played in total.
H2H Radim Jaros 1–5 Miroslav Cyrus Radim Jaros has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Cyrus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyrus form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJaros 2.38 / Cyrus 1.53
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Cyrus)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12480498
Jaros2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 21 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Cyrus1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite40% won 8 of 20
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it62% 8 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeJaros1wins
AwayCyrus5wins
2 of 6 to a deciderCyrus leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJarosn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayCyrus75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jaros2Cyrus4n = 6Cyrus took 4 of 6
S2Jaros3Cyrus3n = 6split evenly
S3Jaros2Cyrus4n = 6Cyrus took 4 of 6
S4Jaros1Cyrus3n = 4Cyrus took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricJarosCyrusJ − CBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match36.241.2−5.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJarosCyrusBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 229 vs 77 / 17239.7%44.8%91 / 229 vs 77 / 172Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CyrusJaros 2.38/Cyrus 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Cyrus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cyrus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 22 · 11:35R. Jaros—14730M. Cyrus—1611113
LAug 16 · 12:35R. Jaros—10740M. Cyrus—1211113
WAug 5 · 19:35R. Jaros—91111113M. Cyrus—119671
LJan 2 · 14:15R. Jaros—13611992M. Cyrus—1111811113
LJan 2 · 11:05R. Jaros—13116101M. Cyrus—15411123
LDec 21 · 17:05R. Jaros—11114882M. Cyrus—871111113
R. Jaros10
WSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101LSep 6 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6311811121P. Pesout1.4481113143LSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172LSep 5 · 17:15M. Chmelicek1.1716115113R. Jaros4.501481131WSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113LSep 5 · 15:35R. Jaros3.25119801T. Motacek1.3351111113LSep 5 · 14:05M. Chmelicek1.171111113R. Jaros4.502750LSep 4 · 21:15M. Chmelicek—1111113R. Jaros—4790LSep 4 · 20:35M. Cyrus1.44111011113R. Jaros2.63412771
M. Cyrus10
WSep 4 · 21:45M. Cyrus2.101111314113M. Rojka1.67135111282WSep 4 · 20:35M. Cyrus1.44111011113R. Jaros2.63412771WSep 4 · 19:05M. Chmelicek1.61921131M. Cyrus2.2011119113WSep 4 · 18:35M. Rojka1.50119117112M. Cyrus2.50811811133LSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:35P. Pesout1.831111113M. Cyrus1.837230LSep 2 · 15:35M. Cyrus2.251760M. Flesar1.571111113WSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113LAug 23 · 12:05J. Horky1.3313711113M. Cyrus3.251111821WAug 23 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6397111142M. Cyrus1.44111194113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.