TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058100
Played Sep 1Finished
Tomas Beran 2000
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10121111012––––
Tomas Trnka
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:13 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Beran 2000 to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Beran 2000 above · Tomas Trnka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 56 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Beran 2000 at 57.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Beran 2000 6–1 Tomas Trnka Tomas Trnka has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:13What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Beran
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Beran
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Beran 1623 vs Trnka 1623
Beran
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Beran 20% vs Trnka 40%
Trnka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Beran 30% vs Trnka 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Beran -3 · Trnka -1
Beran
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Beran)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Beran form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBeran 1.67 / Trnka 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Beran)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13058100
Beran1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 7 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Trnka2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 19 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBeran6wins
AwayTrnka1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderBeran leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBeran75%3 of 4
AwayTrnka0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Beran4Trnka3n = 7Beran took 4 of 7
S2Beran5Trnka2n = 7Beran took 5 of 7
S3Beran4Trnka3n = 7Beran took 4 of 7
S4Beran4Trnka3n = 7Beran took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricBeranTrnkaB − TBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match43.739.9+3.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBeranTrnkaBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 128 vs 133 / 25053.1%53.2%68 / 128 vs 133 / 250Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BeranBeran 1.67/Trnka 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Beran · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Trnka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 18 · 21:15T. Beran—111011113T. Trnka—612871
WAug 18 · 19:35T. Beran—121111113T. Trnka—148771
WApr 14 · 17:05T. Beran—711116113T. Trnka—11891172
WApr 14 · 14:05T. Beran—1112810113T. Trnka—610111262
LFeb 18 · 17:35T. Beran—1177101T. Trnka—81111123
WDec 11 · 20:05T. Beran—41111113T. Trnka—119781
WDec 9 · 17:05T. Beran—11179113T. Trnka—9151171
T. Beran10
WSep 3 · 17:34T. Beran1.5012711133M. Holub2.5010119111LSep 3 · 16:05T. Beran2.206101111102T. Trnka1.61111299123WSep 3 · 15:05T. Beran1.7381112123J. Ruzicka2.0011810101WSep 3 · 14:05T. Beran1.8391111113M. Holub1.83112861LSep 1 · 17:15T. Trnka1.831111113T. Beran1.834990LSep 1 · 16:05T. Beran1.7311391172J. Joksch2.00611117113LSep 1 · 14:05T. Beran1.6177111292J. Ruzicka2.201111910113LAug 21 · 17:10M. Kucera2.001161110113T. Beran1.7381141262LAug 21 · 16:35T. Beran1.91115941M. Kucera1.8071111113WAug 21 · 15:05M. Mastera1.833680T. Beran1.831111113
T. Trnka10
LSep 6 · 17:18T. Trnka2.256911121F. Karel1.5711118143LSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161LSep 6 · 15:35T. Trnka2.63791181T. Bartik1.4411116113WSep 6 · 14:05F. Karel1.44791191T. Trnka2.6311114113LSep 5 · 09:10M. Kucera1.401111113T. Trnka2.758770LSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970LSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113LSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781WSep 3 · 16:05T. Beran2.206101111102T. Trnka1.61111299123WSep 1 · 17:15T. Trnka1.831111113T. Beran1.834990
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