TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106907
Played Sep 10Finished
Matej Holub
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121161192111315
Radek Vosyka
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Holub to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatej Holub above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 100 set 5, 13-15 — our read held Matej Holub at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Matej Holub 5–4 Radek Vosyka Radek Vosyka has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Holub
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holub 1632 vs Vosyka 1620
Holub
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holub 60% vs Vosyka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holub 50% vs Vosyka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holub +3 · Vosyka -2
Holub
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holub)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 1.80 / Vosyka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Holub)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13106907
Holub1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 44 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 30 of 39
Vosyka1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 22 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back23% 6 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back10% 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHolub5wins
AwayVosyka4wins
4 of 9 to a deciderHolub leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolub80%4 of 5
AwayVosyka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holub5Vosyka4n = 9Holub took 5 of 9
S2Holub3Vosyka6n = 9Vosyka took 6 of 9
S3Holub4Vosyka5n = 9Vosyka took 5 of 9
S4Holub3Vosyka3n = 6split evenly
S5Holub3Vosyka1n = 4Holub took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricHolubVosykaH − VBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.240.3−1.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 206 vs 188 / 36457.3%51.7%118 / 206 vs 188 / 364Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubHolub 1.80/Vosyka 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 28 · 13:10M. Holub—11714113R. Vosyka—7111281
WAug 28 · 10:35M. Holub—9111111113R. Vosyka—11971352
LJul 20 · 10:35M. Holub—5980R. Vosyka—1111113
WJul 13 · 13:50M. Holub—1111133R. Vosyka—58110
LJul 13 · 10:05M. Holub—1112111062R. Vosyka—914712113
LJul 3 · 11:05M. Holub—6380R. Vosyka—1111113
WMay 15 · 13:45M. Holub—117811113R. Vosyka—71111862
WMay 15 · 10:05M. Holub—1351112113R. Vosyka—1111131082
LDec 27 · 12:05M. Holub—1011571R. Vosyka—12711113
M. Holub10
WSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7177111172WSep 7 · 13:14R. Vavricka2.1051161162M. Holub1.67118118113WSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482LSep 7 · 11:05M. Holub1.80961161R. Fitl1.9111118113LSep 7 · 10:05M. Holub1.73111011942R. Vavricka2.00912811113LSep 3 · 17:35T. Beran1.5512711133M. Holub2.3010119111LSep 3 · 17:34T. Beran1.5012711133M. Holub2.5010119111WSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113WSep 3 · 15:35M. Holub2.20111111133T. Trnka1.611386111LSep 3 · 14:05T. Beran1.8391111113M. Holub1.83112861
R. Vosyka10
WSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113LSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970LSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:05R. Vosyka1.501111113D. Hons2.507670WSep 8 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50111188113T. Krcil2.5089111182WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113WSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113LSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WAug 31 · 21:45R. Vosyka1.57111156123R. Neterda2.25881111102
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