TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106023
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Ruzicka
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511411811––––
Radek Vosyka
Away
1.66
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:35 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Ruzicka above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 50 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Jan Ruzicka 13–13 Radek Vosyka Dead even across their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:35What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (56%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-13 in 26
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1650 vs Vosyka 1620
Ruzicka
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 60% vs Vosyka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 50% vs Vosyka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +1 · Vosyka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 2.10 / Vosyka 1.66
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Vosyka)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13106023
Ruzicka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog56% won 58 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back31% 16 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Vosyka1.66
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 84 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it74% 68 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka7wins
AwayVosyka3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka83.3%5 of 6
AwayVosyka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka6Vosyka4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S2Ruzicka7Vosyka3n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S3Ruzicka6Vosyka4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S4Ruzicka2Vosyka5n = 7Vosyka took 5 of 7
S5Ruzicka3Vosyka0n = 3Ruzicka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaVosykaR − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.336.3+2.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 416 vs 188 / 36451.9%51.7%216 / 416 vs 188 / 364Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaRuzicka 2.10/Vosyka 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 09:40J. Ruzicka—1681041R. Vosyka—141112113
WAug 22 · 08:35J. Ruzicka—711117143R. Vosyka—119811122
LAug 15 · 17:35J. Ruzicka—671161R. Vosyka—11119113
WAug 15 · 14:35J. Ruzicka—11119893R. Vosyka—95111162
WAug 13 · 17:58J. Ruzicka—114511113R. Vosyka—81111992
WAug 13 · 16:05J. Ruzicka—1111113R. Vosyka—8750
WJun 20 · 17:35J. Ruzicka—91112113R. Vosyka—1181081
LJun 20 · 16:35J. Ruzicka—711771R. Vosyka—11411113
WJun 4 · 15:05J. Ruzicka—1211113R. Vosyka—10790
WMay 29 · 12:35J. Ruzicka—1111113R. Vosyka—5340
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670LSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791LSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.91861111113J. Lovl1.8011116972WSep 5 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.6191411113J. Martin2.201112541LSep 3 · 17:03T. Trnka2.00211114113J. Ruzicka1.7311971162
R. Vosyka10
WSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153LSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970LSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:05R. Vosyka1.501111113D. Hons2.507670WSep 8 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50111188113T. Krcil2.5089111182WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113WSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113LSep 3 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.50961161J. Vidourek2.5011116113WAug 31 · 21:45R. Vosyka1.57111156123R. Neterda2.25881111102
Upcoming Matches
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R. Vosyka
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