TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106919
Played Sep 10Finished
Radek Fitl
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13115118111012––
Jan Ruzicka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:23 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeRadek Fitl to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Jan Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 81 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Radek Fitl at 54.5%
81 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fitl 7–7 Jan Ruzicka Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fitl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fitl 1675 vs Ruzicka 1635
Fitl
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fitl 80% vs Ruzicka 60%
Fitl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fitl 90% vs Ruzicka 50%
Fitl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fitl -1 · Ruzicka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Fitl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fitl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFitl 1.73 / Ruzicka 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Fitl)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13106919
Fitl1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 86 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it87% 45 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it81% 65 of 80
Ruzicka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog56% won 58 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back31% 16 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFitl6wins
AwayRuzicka4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFitl leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFitl83.3%5 of 6
AwayRuzicka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fitl6Ruzicka4n = 10Fitl took 6 of 10
S2Fitl7Ruzicka3n = 10Fitl took 7 of 10
S3Fitl6Ruzicka4n = 10Fitl took 6 of 10
S4Fitl1Ruzicka3n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFitlRuzickaF − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.533.1+3.4per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFitlRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 352 vs 216 / 41753.4%51.8%188 / 352 vs 216 / 417Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlFitl 1.73/Ruzicka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 14:35R. Fitl—811111092J. Ruzicka—113612113
WAug 11 · 18:35R. Fitl—1111113J. Ruzicka—4590
WAug 6 · 16:05R. Fitl—1213129113J. Ruzicka—1411101182
WAug 4 · 20:05R. Fitl—1113113J. Ruzicka—41180
LAug 2 · 09:43R. Fitl—61250J. Ruzicka—1114113
WAug 2 · 08:05R. Fitl—1111113J. Ruzicka—8880
WAug 1 · 06:05R. Fitl—1114113J. Ruzicka—91260
WJul 28 · 13:44R. Fitl—11119113J. Ruzicka—961151
LJul 28 · 11:05R. Fitl—58100J. Ruzicka—1111123
LJul 25 · 13:35R. Fitl—117971J. Ruzicka—81111113
R. Fitl10
LSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7177111172WSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970WSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:35T. Krcil2.63611521R. Fitl1.4411611113WSep 8 · 14:35R. Fitl1.4412119113D. Hons2.631091161WSep 8 · 13:34R. Fitl1.80114911113J. Lovl1.9161111672WSep 8 · 12:05R. Fitl1.8311711113J. Lovl1.83211871WSep 8 · 11:05R. Fitl1.50711911113R. Vavricka2.5011711842WSep 8 · 10:05R. Fitl1.331111113O. Pros3.259770WSep 7 · 17:40R. Fitl1.911261111123R. Fnukal1.801011813102
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670LSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791LSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.91861111113J. Lovl1.8011116972WSep 5 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.6191411113J. Martin2.201112541LSep 3 · 17:03T. Trnka2.00211114113J. Ruzicka1.7311971162
Upcoming Matches
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