TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097998
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Krcil
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611116511211––
Radek Fitl
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:43 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeRadek Fitl to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Krcil above · Radek Fitl below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 63 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Radek Fitl at 67.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krcil 0–2 Radek Fitl Tomas Krcil has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Fitl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1465 vs Fitl 1647
Fitl
Correct
both rated, 182 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 20% vs Fitl 100%
Fitl
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 60% vs Fitl 100%
Fitl
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil -1 · Fitl +5
Fitl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Fitl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fitl form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 2.63 / Fitl 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Fitl)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13097998
Krcil2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog55% won 21 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back38% 8 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Fitl1.44
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 80 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it80% 60 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrcil0wins
AwayFitl2wins
Fitl leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKrcilFitlK − FBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match31.539.0−7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilFitlBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 268 vs 185 / 34851.9%53.2%139 / 268 vs 185 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlKrcil 2.63/Fitl 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fitl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 25 · 15:35T. Krcil—311961R. Fitl—11911113
LMay 17 · 16:05T. Krcil—911861R. Fitl—11311113
T. Krcil10
WSep 8 · 16:35D. Hons1.7311118842T. Krcil2.00461111113LSep 8 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50111188113T. Krcil2.5089111182WSep 7 · 21:15J. Hajek2.1091080T. Krcil1.671112113LSep 7 · 20:05J. Martin1.671141110113T. Krcil2.1001171262LSep 7 · 19:35M. Rojka2.201114113T. Krcil1.6161280LSep 7 · 18:35T. Krcil1.50191181J. Hajek2.5011117113WSep 2 · 21:50T. Krcil1.73116911113M. Rojka2.0091111952WSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:05T. Krcil1.7311311113M. Rojka2.00511581WSep 2 · 18:05T. Krcil1.61111110113J. Hajek2.20691281
R. Fitl10
WSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 14:35R. Fitl1.4412119113D. Hons2.631091161WSep 8 · 13:34R. Fitl1.80114911113J. Lovl1.9161111672WSep 8 · 12:05R. Fitl1.8311711113J. Lovl1.83211871WSep 8 · 11:05R. Fitl1.50711911113R. Vavricka2.5011711842WSep 8 · 10:05R. Fitl1.331111113O. Pros3.259770WSep 7 · 17:40R. Fitl1.911261111123R. Fnukal1.801011813102WSep 7 · 16:05R. Fnukal1.7316611562R. Fitl2.001411411113WSep 7 · 15:35L. Vosyka2.009650R. Fitl1.731111113WSep 7 · 14:35R. Fitl1.50111114113D. Hons2.50461661
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