TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091328
Played Sep 7Finished
Jirasek Martin
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1104111171012116
Tomas Krcil
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:37 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJirasek Martin to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Tomas Krcil below
Set 1 · 11-0
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 83 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jirasek Martin at 55.8%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jirasek Martin 1–0 Tomas Krcil Tomas Krcil has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:37What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Martin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Martin 1495 vs Krcil 1469
Martin
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 60% vs Krcil 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 50% vs Krcil 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin +1 · Krcil -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Martin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krcil form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 1.67 / Krcil 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Martin)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13091328
Martin1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 13 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Krcil2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog57% won 21 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back40% 8 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMartin1wins
AwayKrcil0wins
Martin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMartinKrcilM − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.034.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 63 vs 138 / 26549.2%52.1%31 / 63 vs 138 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinMartin 1.67/Krcil 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Martin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Martin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 3 · 15:05J. Martin—51211113T. Krcil—1110851
J. Martin10
WSep 7 · 19:05J. Martin1.731112113J. Hajek2.0041070LSep 7 · 18:05J. Martin1.288470M. Rojka3.501111113WSep 6 · 09:05J. Martin1.671111163M. Flesar2.1088140LSep 6 · 08:35J. Lovl1.441111113J. Martin2.639550WSep 6 · 07:35J. Martin1.731111113M. Flesar2.007640LSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670WSep 5 · 21:04J. Martin2.001111123R. Vavricka1.7389100WSep 5 · 20:35R. Vavricka1.677680J. Martin2.101111113LSep 5 · 19:35J. Martin1.7371212792K. Lahodny2.0011101011113LSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152
T. Krcil10
LSep 7 · 19:35M. Rojka2.201114113T. Krcil1.6161280LSep 7 · 18:35T. Krcil1.50191181J. Hajek2.5011117113WSep 2 · 21:50T. Krcil1.73116911113M. Rojka2.0091111952WSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:05T. Krcil1.7311311113M. Rojka2.00511581WSep 2 · 18:05T. Krcil1.61111110113J. Hajek2.20691281WSep 1 · 21:18J. Kabelka2.004570T. Krcil1.731111113LSep 1 · 20:35T. Krcil1.57127611112J. Kabelka2.251011117133LSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991LSep 1 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.73111179113T. Krcil2.0097111192
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