TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091906
Played Sep 7Finished
Tomas Krcil
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
111911117811––
Jaroslav Hajek
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:56 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Krcil to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Krcil above · Jaroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Krcil at 62.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krcil 2–0 Jaroslav Hajek Jaroslav Hajek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Krcil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1503 vs Hajek 1420
Krcil
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 100% vs Hajek 60%
Krcil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 70% vs Hajek 50%
Krcil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil +5 · Hajek +1
Krcil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Krcil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 1.50 / Hajek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Krcil)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13091906
Krcil1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite54% won 45 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it70% 32 of 46
Hajek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 5 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrcil2wins
AwayHajek0wins
Krcil leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKrcilHajekK − HBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.033.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 263 vs 12 / 2852.5%42.9%138 / 263 vs 12 / 28Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrcilKrcil 1.50/Hajek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Krcil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 2 · 18:05T. Krcil—111110113J. Hajek—691281
WAug 3 · 12:35T. Krcil—11112113J. Hajek—761171
T. Krcil10
LSep 7 · 20:05J. Martin1.671141110113T. Krcil2.1001171262LSep 7 · 19:35M. Rojka2.201114113T. Krcil1.6161280WSep 2 · 21:50T. Krcil1.73116911113M. Rojka2.0091111952WSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:05T. Krcil1.7311311113M. Rojka2.00511581WSep 2 · 18:05T. Krcil1.61111110113J. Hajek2.20691281WSep 1 · 21:18J. Kabelka2.004570T. Krcil1.731111113LSep 1 · 20:35T. Krcil1.57127611112J. Kabelka2.251011117133LSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991LSep 1 · 18:35L. Vosyka1.73111179113T. Krcil2.0097111192
J. Hajek10
LSep 7 · 19:05J. Martin1.731112113J. Hajek2.0041070WSep 3 · 13:14M. Chmelicek1.8381161182J. Hajek1.83116115113LSep 3 · 12:35M. Chmelicek1.73511714113J. Hajek2.00117111292WSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540LSep 3 · 10:05M. Flesar1.91117119113J. Hajek1.8011181172WSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180WSep 2 · 20:35M. Rojka1.8391314892J. Hajek1.8311111211113LSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:05T. Krcil1.61111110113J. Hajek2.20691281WAug 21 · 21:05R. Jaros1.8318111182J. Hajek1.83111199113
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