TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091516
Played Sep 7Finished
Jirasek Martin
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141210117––––
Jaroslav Hajek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJirasek Martin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Jaroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jirasek Martin at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Martin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Martin 1483 vs Hajek 1440
Martin
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 40% vs Hajek 60%
Hajek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 50% vs Hajek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin -1 · Hajek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 1.73 / Hajek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Martin)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13091516
Martin1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 13 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Hajek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 5 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 62 vs 13 / 2948.4%44.8%30 / 62 vs 13 / 29Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinMartin 1.73/Hajek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Martin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Martin won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Martin10
LSep 7 · 18:05J. Martin1.288470M. Rojka3.501111113WSep 6 · 09:05J. Martin1.671111163M. Flesar2.1088140LSep 6 · 08:35J. Lovl1.441111113J. Martin2.639550WSep 6 · 07:35J. Martin1.731111113M. Flesar2.007640LSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670WSep 5 · 21:04J. Martin2.001111123R. Vavricka1.7389100WSep 5 · 20:35R. Vavricka1.677680J. Martin2.101111113LSep 5 · 19:35J. Martin1.7371212792K. Lahodny2.0011101011113LSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152WSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113
J. Hajek10
WSep 7 · 18:35T. Krcil1.50191181J. Hajek2.5011117113WSep 3 · 13:14M. Chmelicek1.8381161182J. Hajek1.83116115113LSep 3 · 12:35M. Chmelicek1.73511714113J. Hajek2.00117111292WSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540LSep 3 · 10:05M. Flesar1.91117119113J. Hajek1.8011181172WSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180WSep 2 · 20:35M. Rojka1.8391314892J. Hajek1.8311111211113LSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:05T. Krcil1.61111110113J. Hajek2.20691281WAug 21 · 21:05R. Jaros1.8318111182J. Hajek1.83111199113
Upcoming Matches
J. Martin
Nothing scheduled
J. Hajek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.