TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13095195
Played Sep 8Finished
Radek Fitl
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117117––––
Ondrej Pros
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:00 and never touched — 74.9% is still 74.9%
Graded at full timeRadek Fitl to win
74.9%
74.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Ondrej Pros below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Radek Fitl at 74.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fitl 6–2 Ondrej Pros Ondrej Pros has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:00What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Fitl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Fitl
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fitl 1596 vs Pros 1434
Fitl
Correct
both rated, 162 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fitl 100% vs Pros 60%
Fitl
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fitl 80% vs Pros 40%
Fitl
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fitl +5 · Pros -1
Fitl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Fitl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pros form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFitl 1.33 / Pros 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Fitl)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13095195
Fitl1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 80 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it80% 60 of 75
Pros3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 34 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back21% 12 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeFitl6wins
AwayPros2wins
2 of 8 to a deciderFitl leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFitl80%4 of 5
AwayPros33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fitl5Pros3n = 8Fitl took 5 of 8
S2Fitl7Pros1n = 8Fitl took 7 of 8
S3Fitl5Pros3n = 8Fitl took 5 of 8
S4Fitl2Pros2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricFitlProsF − PBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match38.234.2+4.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFitlProsBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 343 vs 113 / 24352.5%46.5%180 / 343 vs 113 / 243Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlFitl 1.33/Pros 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.9%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fitl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 4 · 13:35R. Fitl—1111113O. Pros—7790
WAug 4 · 11:35R. Fitl—1111123O. Pros—76100
WJul 28 · 12:35R. Fitl—815115153O. Pros—1113511132
WJul 2 · 14:35R. Fitl—141111113O. Pros—1271381
LJun 25 · 16:35R. Fitl—91090O. Pros—1112113
WJun 18 · 10:35R. Fitl—1211113O. Pros—10870
LJun 15 · 12:35R. Fitl—11114912O. Pros—781111113
WMay 21 · 20:05R. Fitl—71111113O. Pros—116741
R. Fitl10
WSep 8 · 12:05R. Fitl1.8311711113J. Lovl1.83211871WSep 8 · 11:05R. Fitl1.50711911113R. Vavricka2.5011711842WSep 7 · 17:40R. Fitl1.911261111123R. Fnukal1.801011813102WSep 7 · 16:05R. Fnukal1.7316611562R. Fitl2.001411411113WSep 7 · 15:35L. Vosyka2.009650R. Fitl1.731111113WSep 7 · 14:35R. Fitl1.50111114113D. Hons2.50461661WSep 7 · 13:43R. Neterda1.67131311392R. Fitl2.101115911113WSep 7 · 12:35R. Fitl1.50115413113R. Vavricka2.50611111182WSep 7 · 11:05M. Holub1.80961161R. Fitl1.9111118113LSep 7 · 10:35R. Neterda1.80111112113R. Fitl1.91431491
O. Pros10
LSep 8 · 11:35O. Pros2.7534121162J. Lovl1.401111107113LSep 3 · 13:44O. Pros1.408711121M. Flesar2.7511119143WSep 3 · 12:05M. Flesar2.631199121O. Pros1.4461111143LSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540WSep 3 · 10:35O. Pros2.0011811113M. Chmelicek1.73711871WSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123WSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113LSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Holub1.2011811113O. Pros4.33811851LAug 27 · 17:05D. Hons1.44119117113O. Pros2.6381161162
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