TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13093002
Played Sep 7Finished
Radek Neterda
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13111315119311911
Radek Fitl
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Radek Fitl below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 106 set 5, 9-11
106 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 14–3 Radek Fitl Radek Fitl has won 3 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Neterda beat Fitl 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Neterda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fitl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 1.67 / Fitl 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Neterda)+3.5pp
TT Cup · #13093002
Neterda1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 55 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Fitl2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 53 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeterda9wins
AwayFitl1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderNeterda leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeterda100%7 of 7
AwayFitl33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neterda7Fitl3n = 10Neterda took 7 of 10
S2Neterda6Fitl4n = 10Neterda took 6 of 10
S3Neterda5Fitl5n = 10split evenly
S4Neterda7Fitl1n = 8Neterda took 7 of 8
S5Neterda4Fitl1n = 5Neterda took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeterdaFitlN − FBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match46.536.8+9.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaFitlBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 391 vs 175 / 33850.9%51.8%199 / 391 vs 175 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeterdaNeterda 1.67/Fitl 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Neterda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fitl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 10:35R. Neterda—111112113R. Fitl—431491
WSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda—1311913113R. Fitl—116111562
WAug 24 · 10:35R. Neterda—121311113R. Fitl—1015761
LAug 20 · 13:40R. Neterda—811101182R. Fitl—117125113
WAug 20 · 12:35R. Neterda—11911113R. Fitl—511981
WAug 16 · 09:03R. Neterda—8101113113R. Fitl—111271152
WAug 16 · 08:05R. Neterda—1211911113R. Fitl—14311772
WAug 6 · 12:35R. Neterda—1112113R. Fitl—91050
WAug 4 · 10:35R. Neterda—1181111113R. Fitl—31113782
WJul 26 · 15:05R. Neterda—1111113R. Fitl—4950
R. Neterda10
LSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482WSep 7 · 11:35R. Vavricka2.20711691R. Neterda1.6111411113WSep 7 · 10:35R. Neterda1.80111112113R. Fitl1.91431491LSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113WSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:35J. Martin2.3811125542R. Neterda1.535101111113LSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda1.915070J. Lovl1.801111113WSep 4 · 17:34M. Flesar2.107650R. Neterda1.671111113WSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562WSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050
R. Fitl10
WSep 7 · 14:35R. Fitl1.50111114113D. Hons2.50461661WSep 7 · 12:35R. Fitl1.50115413113R. Vavricka2.50611111182WSep 7 · 11:05M. Holub1.80961161R. Fitl1.9111118113LSep 7 · 10:35R. Neterda1.80111112113R. Fitl1.91431491WSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113LSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771WSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152LSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113LSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562
Upcoming Matches
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R. Fitl
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