TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13094953
Played Sep 7Finished
Jaroslav Hajek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012811––––
Tomas Krcil
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJaroslav Hajek above · Tomas Krcil below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 61 set 3, 8-11
61 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Hajek 1–2 Tomas Krcil Jaroslav Hajek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Hajek beat Krcil 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Krcil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krcil form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 2.10 / Krcil 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Krcil)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13094953
Hajek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 5 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back20% 1 of 5
Krcil1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 45 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it70% 32 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeHajek1wins
AwayKrcil2wins
Krcil leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hajek1Krcil2n = 3Krcil took 2 of 3
S2Hajek1Krcil2n = 3Krcil took 2 of 3
S3Hajek2Krcil1n = 3Hajek took 2 of 3
S4Hajek1Krcil2n = 3Krcil took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricHajekKrcilH − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.335.7−0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 31 vs 138 / 26641.9%51.9%13 / 31 vs 138 / 266Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrcilHajek 2.10/Krcil 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Krcil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krcil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 7 · 18:35J. Hajek—11117113T. Krcil—191181
LSep 2 · 18:05J. Hajek—691281T. Krcil—111110113
LAug 3 · 12:35J. Hajek—761171T. Krcil—11112113
J. Hajek10
LSep 7 · 20:35J. Hajek1.57311111452M. Rojka2.251113612113LSep 7 · 19:05J. Martin1.731112113J. Hajek2.0041070WSep 7 · 18:35T. Krcil1.50191181J. Hajek2.5011117113WSep 3 · 13:14M. Chmelicek1.8381161182J. Hajek1.83116115113LSep 3 · 12:35M. Chmelicek1.73511714113J. Hajek2.00117111292WSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540LSep 3 · 10:05M. Flesar1.91117119113J. Hajek1.8011181172WSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180WSep 2 · 20:35M. Rojka1.8391314892J. Hajek1.8311111211113LSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133
T. Krcil10
LSep 7 · 20:05J. Martin1.671141110113T. Krcil2.1001171262LSep 7 · 19:35M. Rojka2.201114113T. Krcil1.6161280LSep 7 · 18:35T. Krcil1.50191181J. Hajek2.5011117113WSep 2 · 21:50T. Krcil1.73116911113M. Rojka2.0091111952WSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720WSep 2 · 19:05T. Krcil1.7311311113M. Rojka2.00511581WSep 2 · 18:05T. Krcil1.61111110113J. Hajek2.20691281WSep 1 · 21:18J. Kabelka2.004570T. Krcil1.731111113LSep 1 · 20:35T. Krcil1.57127611112J. Kabelka2.251011117133LSep 1 · 19:05J. Vidourek1.5781111113T. Krcil2.25119991
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