TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091826
Played Sep 7Finished
Jaroslav Hajek
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
31111131161412511
Matyas Rojka
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:27 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Hajek to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Hajek above · Matyas Rojka below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 97 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Jaroslav Hajek at 60.8%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Hajek 1–0 Matyas Rojka Matyas Rojka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hajek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hajek 1423 vs Rojka 1335
Hajek
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hajek 60% vs Rojka 40%
Hajek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hajek 50% vs Rojka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hajek -1 · Rojka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hajek) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 1.57 / Rojka 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Hajek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13091826
Hajek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Rojka2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 17 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back28% 10 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHajek1wins
AwayRojka0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHajek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHajekRojkaH − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match56.053.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekRojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 30 vs 93 / 19643.3%47.5%13 / 30 vs 93 / 196Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekHajek 1.57/Rojka 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 2 · 20:35J. Hajek—11111211113M. Rojka—91314892
J. Hajek10
LSep 7 · 21:15J. Hajek2.1091080T. Krcil1.671112113LSep 7 · 19:05J. Martin1.731112113J. Hajek2.0041070WSep 7 · 18:35T. Krcil1.50191181J. Hajek2.5011117113WSep 3 · 13:14M. Chmelicek1.8381161182J. Hajek1.83116115113LSep 3 · 12:35M. Chmelicek1.73511714113J. Hajek2.00117111292WSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540LSep 3 · 10:05M. Flesar1.91117119113J. Hajek1.8011181172WSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180WSep 2 · 20:35M. Rojka1.8391314892J. Hajek1.8311111211113LSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133
M. Rojka10
WSep 7 · 21:45M. Rojka2.011112113J. Martin1.6641070WSep 7 · 19:35M. Rojka2.201114113T. Krcil1.6161280WSep 7 · 18:05J. Martin1.288470M. Rojka3.501111113LSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551LSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:35M. Rojka1.916411131M. Chmelicek1.8011118153LSep 6 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.6791111113M. Rojka2.10117531LSep 4 · 21:45M. Cyrus2.101111314113M. Rojka1.67135111282WSep 4 · 20:05M. Chmelicek1.80111281072M. Rojka1.915101112113LSep 2 · 20:35M. Rojka1.8391314892J. Hajek1.8311111211113
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