TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108555
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Ruzicka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911117511119117
Martin Mastera
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMartin Mastera to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Ruzicka above · Martin Mastera below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Martin Mastera at 58.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Ruzicka 8–10 Martin Mastera Jakub Ruzicka has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-10 in 18
Mastera
Wrong
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1707 vs Mastera 1775
Mastera
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 40% vs Mastera 80%
Mastera
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 50% vs Mastera 70%
Mastera
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +1 · Mastera +4
Mastera
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mastera form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.73 / Mastera 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mastera)-0.3pp
TT Cup · #13108555
Ruzicka1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 9 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it60% 6 of 10
Mastera2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 54 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka5wins
AwayMastera5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka83.3%5 of 6
AwayMastera100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka6Mastera4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S2Ruzicka5Mastera5n = 10split evenly
S3Ruzicka4Mastera6n = 10Mastera took 6 of 10
S4Ruzicka3Mastera2n = 5Ruzicka took 3 of 5
S5Ruzicka1Mastera2n = 3Mastera took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaMasteraR − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.734.4+1.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaMasteraBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 115 vs 168 / 33639.1%50%45 / 115 vs 168 / 336Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.73/Mastera 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka—12119862M. Mastera—1041111113
WAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka—111311113M. Mastera—415781
LAug 29 · 13:18J. Ruzicka—10570M. Mastera—1211113
WAug 29 · 11:35J. Ruzicka—1112113M. Mastera—31050
WAug 28 · 15:35J. Ruzicka—1113113M. Mastera—91180
WAug 26 · 14:35J. Ruzicka—111174113M. Mastera—52111182
LAug 4 · 17:04J. Ruzicka—83111152M. Mastera—111158113
LAug 4 · 16:35J. Ruzicka—710100M. Mastera—1112123
WJul 14 · 14:35J. Ruzicka—11113113M. Mastera—571151
LJul 11 · 14:35J. Ruzicka—79130M. Mastera—1111153
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 2 · 13:08T. Bartik1.53117111182J. Ruzicka2.38611138113LSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471LSep 2 · 11:35J. Ruzicka2.2046100T. Bartik1.611111123WSep 2 · 10:05F. Karel1.537590J. Ruzicka2.381111113LAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113WAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.80111311113M. Mastera1.91415781WAug 31 · 15:05F. Karel1.4475111182J. Ruzicka2.63111196113WAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:18J. Ruzicka1.5710570M. Mastera2.251211113LAug 29 · 12:35M. Kucera1.611013811113J. Ruzicka2.20121111862
M. Mastera10
WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172LSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132WSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113WAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113LAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.80111311113M. Mastera1.91415781WAug 29 · 13:18J. Ruzicka1.5710570M. Mastera2.251211113
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