TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108570
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Ruzicka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1188119111191012
Matej Holub
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Ruzicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Ruzicka above · Matej Holub below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 100 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Jakub Ruzicka at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Ruzicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1719 vs Holub 1616
Ruzicka
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 60% vs Holub 40%
Ruzicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 60% vs Holub 40%
Ruzicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +2 · Holub +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.50 / Holub 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Ruzicka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13108570
Ruzicka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 9 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it60% 6 of 10
Holub2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 40 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 116 vs 119 / 21039.7%56.7%46 / 116 vs 119 / 210Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.50/Holub 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holub won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 10 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.73911511113M. Mastera2.0011711972WSep 2 · 13:08T. Bartik1.53117111182J. Ruzicka2.38611138113LSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471LSep 2 · 11:35J. Ruzicka2.2046100T. Bartik1.611111123WSep 2 · 10:05F. Karel1.537590J. Ruzicka2.381111113LAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113WAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.80111311113M. Mastera1.91415781WAug 31 · 15:05F. Karel1.4475111182J. Ruzicka2.63111196113WAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:18J. Ruzicka1.5710570M. Mastera2.251211113
M. Holub10
WSep 10 · 14:35O. Polak1.506111081M. Holub2.5011412113LSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113LSep 10 · 12:05M. Holub1.7341113182J. Ruzicka2.001181111113LSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 7 · 13:14R. Vavricka2.1051161162M. Holub1.67118118113WSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482LSep 7 · 11:05M. Holub1.80961161R. Fitl1.9111118113LSep 7 · 10:05M. Holub1.73111011942R. Vavricka2.00912811113LSep 3 · 17:35T. Beran1.5512711133M. Holub2.3010119111
Upcoming Matches
J. Ruzicka
Nothing scheduled
M. Holub
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