TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106832
Played Sep 10Finished
Jiri Matus
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1214118114116––
Tadeas Slivka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Matus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Matus above · Tadeas Slivka below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jiri Matus at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Matus 1–2 Tadeas Slivka Jiri Matus has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:54What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Slivka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Matus 1350 vs Slivka 1289
Matus
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Matus 60% vs Slivka 0%
Matus
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Matus 70% vs Slivka 20%
Matus
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Matus -1 · Slivka -5
Slivka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Matus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slivka form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatus 1.83 / Slivka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Matus)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13106832
Matus1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Slivka1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMatus1wins
AwaySlivka2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderSlivka leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matus1Slivka2n = 3Slivka took 2 of 3
S2Matus2Slivka1n = 3Matus took 2 of 3
S3Matus2Slivka1n = 3Matus took 2 of 3
S4Matus2Slivka1n = 3Matus took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMatusSlivkaM − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match44.341.3+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatusSlivkaBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 411 vs 64 / 13451.8%47.8%213 / 411 vs 64 / 134Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatusMatus 1.83/Slivka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Matus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Matus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WApr 2 · 06:15J. Matus—61112113T. Slivka—1181051
LMar 11 · 08:45J. Matus—111191082T. Slivka—581112113
LFeb 13 · 08:45J. Matus—97111162T. Slivka—111164113
J. Matus10
LSep 10 · 05:40J. Matus1.447870R. Zajac2.631111113WSep 9 · 09:20A. Strelec1.77371171J. Matus1.8711116113WSep 9 · 08:15J. Matus1.80111198113F. Mandrysz1.9175111142WSep 9 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7391111752J. Matus2.00119511113LSep 9 · 06:15A. Strelec1.83119116133J. Matus1.83811411112WSep 1 · 17:15P. Sturma—3790J. Matus—1111113LSep 1 · 16:15P. Sturma1.9191211113J. Matus1.801110851WSep 1 · 15:15J. Matus1.8011119113L. Jr1.91841191WSep 1 · 13:45J. Jnr1.91111291182J. Matus1.801310117113WSep 1 · 01:10P. Chvojka1.577480J. Matus2.251111113
T. Slivka10
LSep 10 · 07:10R. Zajac2.501112113T. Slivka1.5071090LSep 10 · 06:10T. Slivka2.75115781F. Mandrysz1.4021111113LSep 7 · 12:44P. Chvojka1.4411811113T. Slivka2.63511341LSep 7 · 12:15T. Slivka2.208870P. Chvojka1.611111113LSep 7 · 10:45O. Vaclahovsky2.2511118113T. Slivka1.57541131LSep 7 · 10:15L. Jr2.001211811113T. Slivka1.7314611792WSep 7 · 08:44F. Mandrysz1.28910111192T. Slivka3.50111269113LSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113
Upcoming Matches
J. Matus
T. Slivka
Nothing scheduled
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