TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089653
Played Sep 7Finished
Lukas Krupnik Snr
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1412411611118911
Tadeas Slivka
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:51 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeTadeas Slivka to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Snr above · Tadeas Slivka below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 97 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Tadeas Slivka at 55.8%
97 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Snr 0–3 Tadeas Slivka Lukas Krupnik Snr has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:51What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Slivka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Slivka
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snr 1380 vs Slivka 1341
Snr
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 40% vs Slivka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 50% vs Slivka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr +2 · Slivka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Slivka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slivka form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 2.10 / Slivka 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Slivka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13089653
Snr2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 24 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Slivka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 20 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSnr0wins
AwaySlivka3wins
2 of 3 to a deciderSlivka leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr1Slivka2n = 3Slivka took 2 of 3
S2Snr2Slivka1n = 3Snr took 2 of 3
S3Snr0Slivka3n = 3Slivka took 3 of 3
S4Snr2Slivka1n = 3Snr took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSnrSlivkaSnr − SlivkaBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match39.047.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrSlivkaBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 119 vs 63 / 12847.1%49.2%56 / 119 vs 63 / 128Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlivkaSnr 2.10/Slivka 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Slivka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slivka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr—14461192T. Slivka—1211118113
LMay 28 · 09:10L. Snr—1011951T. Slivka—12811113
LMay 28 · 06:10L. Snr—21151282T. Slivka—1131110113
L. Snr10
WSep 7 · 07:45A. Strelec1.83711861L. Snr1.8311511113WSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133WSep 2 · 08:55J. Sindler1.671181171L. Snr2.1013117113WSep 2 · 08:10A. Strelec1.67913111162L. Snr2.101111137113LSep 2 · 07:10L. Snr2.10681151J. Sindler1.6711113113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Chlad1.671111113L. Snr2.104690LSep 1 · 09:14L. Snr1.4099100F. Mandrysz2.751111123WSep 1 · 08:10L. Snr1.5713113113F. Mandrysz2.251171181WSep 1 · 06:40J. Sindler1.57151711972L. Snr2.251715911113LSep 1 · 06:10A. Strelec1.8311711113L. Snr1.83911491
T. Slivka10
LSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071LAug 20 · 17:10D. Stefek1.571311113T. Slivka2.2511660WAug 20 · 15:40L. Jr2.00119981T. Slivka1.7371111113WAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 14:10T. Slivka2.00551761D. Stefek1.73111115113LAug 19 · 12:43T. Slivka1.50971681M. Sobota2.50111114113LAug 19 · 11:40T. Slivka1.801011331D. Stefek1.9112911113LAug 19 · 10:40T. Slivka1.7311811572P. Sturma2.00611911113WAug 19 · 09:40T. Slivka1.801111113M. Sobota1.917680
Upcoming Matches
L. Snr
Nothing scheduled
T. Slivka
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