Jaroslav Sindler vs Lukas Krupnik Snr 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13063197

Played Sep 2Finished

Jaroslav Sindler

Home

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1113811117711––

Lukas Krupnik Snr

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jaroslav Sindler to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Lukas Krupnik Snr below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 7-11

Point 79 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 54.0%

79 points played in total.

H2H Jaroslav Sindler 8–8 Lukas Krupnik Snr Dead even across their 16 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Head to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 08:49

What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Sindler

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

8-8 in 16

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Sindler 1317 vs Snr 1370

Snr

Correct

both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sindler 40% vs Snr 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sindler 40% vs Snr 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Sindler -1 · Snr +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sindler form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSindler 1.67 / Snr 2.10

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Sindler)+0.0pp

TT Cup · #13063197

Sindler1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite49% won 126 of 256

Up 2–0, closes it92% 43 of 47

Up 1–0, closes it68% 82 of 120

Snr2.10

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog47% won 22 of 47

Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSindler6wins

AwaySnr4wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSindler83.3%5 of 6

AwaySnr75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sindler6Snr4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10

S2Sindler5Snr5n = 10split evenly

S3Sindler7Snr3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10

S4Sindler5Snr5n = 10split evenly

S5Sindler1Snr2n = 3Snr took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home550%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricSindlerSnrSindler − SnrBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.638.8+3.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSindlerSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 738 vs 54 / 11650.8%46.6%375 / 738 vs 54 / 116Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Sindler

Sindler 1.67/Snr 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.8%

Sindler · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Snr won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 2 · 08:55J. Sindler—1181171L. Snr—13117113

WSep 2 · 07:10J. Sindler—11113113L. Snr—681151

LSep 1 · 06:40J. Sindler—151711972L. Snr—1715911113

WAug 27 · 06:10J. Sindler—11513113L. Snr—8111181

LAug 13 · 11:10J. Sindler—111111542L. Snr—713211113

WAug 11 · 05:45J. Sindler—111211113L. Snr—414461

WJun 29 · 09:45J. Sindler—91111113L. Snr—115981

WJun 12 · 06:45J. Sindler—11118113L. Snr—871151

LJun 4 · 12:10J. Sindler—511871L. Snr—11611113

WJun 1 · 12:40J. Sindler—11101110113L. Snr—51251262

J. Sindler10

LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113 WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372 WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942 WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172 WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102 LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571 LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113 WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113 WSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113 LSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123

L. Snr10

WSep 7 · 07:45A. Strelec1.83711861L. Snr1.8311511113 WSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133 LSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113 WSep 2 · 08:10A. Strelec1.67913111162L. Snr2.101111137113 LSep 2 · 07:10L. Snr2.10681151J. Sindler1.6711113113 LSep 2 · 05:40P. Chlad1.671111113L. Snr2.104690 LSep 1 · 09:14L. Snr1.4099100F. Mandrysz2.751111123 WSep 1 · 08:10L. Snr1.5713113113F. Mandrysz2.251171181 WSep 1 · 06:40J. Sindler1.57151711972L. Snr2.251715911113 LSep 1 · 06:10A. Strelec1.8311711113L. Snr1.83911491

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