Jaroslav Sindler vs Martin Sobota 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13088562

Played Sep 6Finished

Jaroslav Sindler

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

711119711911––

Martin Sobota

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Martin Sobota below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 7-11

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 76 set 4, 9-11

76 points played in total.

H2H Jaroslav Sindler 14–8 Martin Sobota Martin Sobota has won 8 of their 22 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sindler)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sobota form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSindler 1.67 / Sobota 2.10

Signal prob.57% / 43%

Edge (Sindler)+1.2pp

TT Cup · #13088562

Sindler1.67

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite50% won 128 of 257

Up 2–0, closes it90% 44 of 49

Up 1–0, closes it67% 82 of 123

Sobota2.10

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog49% won 39 of 79

Down 0–1, comes back23% 8 of 35

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSindler7wins

AwaySobota3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSindler75%3 of 4

AwaySobota33.3%2 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sindler4Sobota6n = 10Sobota took 6 of 10

S2Sindler7Sobota3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10

S3Sindler4Sobota6n = 10Sobota took 6 of 10

S4Sindler7Sobota2n = 9Sindler took 7 of 9

S5Sindler2Sobota1n = 3Sindler took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home550%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSindlerSobotaSindler − SobotaBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.340.2+3.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSindlerSobotaBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 749 vs 74 / 16951.1%43.8%383 / 749 vs 74 / 169Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.240.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Sindler

Sindler 1.67/Sobota 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

57%

Sindler · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Sobota won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler—13101115113M. Sobota—151291372

WAug 9 · 07:10J. Sindler—11119133M. Sobota—5711111

WJul 11 · 12:40J. Sindler—71111113M. Sobota—113661

WJul 11 · 10:40J. Sindler—81113113M. Sobota—1161191

LJun 21 · 16:50J. Sindler—101161182M. Sobota—128115113

LJun 21 · 13:45J. Sindler—117981M. Sobota—91111113

WJun 19 · 15:15J. Sindler—1113615123M. Sobota—8111117102

LJun 14 · 11:40J. Sindler—9970M. Sobota—1111113

WJun 6 · 13:40J. Sindler—11118113M. Sobota—771171

WMay 31 · 11:10J. Sindler—81112113M. Sobota—1181091

J. Sindler10

WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372 WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942 WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172 WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102 LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571 LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113 WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113 WSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113 LSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123 WSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122

M. Sobota10

LSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372 WSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163 WSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261 LSep 5 · 08:40M. Sobota1.80811111042L. Stempak1.91119712113 LSep 5 · 07:40L. Jr1.83113911133M. Sobota1.83211117112 WSep 5 · 07:10L. Stempak1.8093121152M. Sobota1.911111107113 LSep 5 · 06:10M. Sobota1.73810151292F. Mandrysz2.0011121310113 LAug 23 · 17:18M. Sobota2.207490R. Jancak1.611111113 WAug 23 · 16:15R. Jancak1.531311941M. Sobota2.3815611113 WAug 23 · 15:14M. Sobota1.9111117113J. Matus1.80971171

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