TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12480865
Played Aug 23Finished
Martin Sobota
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117711117––
Jiri Matus
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Sobota above · Jiri Matus below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7
74 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Matus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matus form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobota 1.91 / Matus 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Matus)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12480865
Sobota1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 35 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back23% 8 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Matus1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 96 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it94% 44 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it74% 64 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobotaMatusBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 159 vs 200 / 38343.4%52.2%69 / 159 vs 200 / 383Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatusSobota 1.91/Matus 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Matus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sobota won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Sobota10
WSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113LSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372WSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163WSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261LSep 5 · 08:40M. Sobota1.80811111042L. Stempak1.91119712113LSep 5 · 07:40L. Jr1.83113911133M. Sobota1.83211117112WSep 5 · 07:10L. Stempak1.8093121152M. Sobota1.911111107113LSep 5 · 06:10M. Sobota1.73810151292F. Mandrysz2.0011121310113LAug 23 · 17:18M. Sobota2.207490R. Jancak1.611111113WAug 23 · 16:15R. Jancak1.531311941M. Sobota2.3815611113
J. Matus10
WSep 1 · 17:15P. Sturma—3790J. Matus—1111113LSep 1 · 16:15P. Sturma1.9191211113J. Matus1.801110851WSep 1 · 15:15J. Matus1.8011119113L. Jr1.91841191WSep 1 · 13:45J. Jnr1.91111291182J. Matus1.801310117113WSep 1 · 01:10P. Chvojka1.577480J. Matus2.251111113LSep 1 · 24:10J. Matus1.7381111562J. Jnr2.00118311113WAug 31 · 16:45J. Matus1.9111119113P. Chvojka1.80961181LAug 31 · 13:40O. Vaclahovsky1.50118411113J. Matus2.5091111372WAug 29 · 21:10R. Jancak1.6888111182J. Matus1.98111178113LAug 29 · 19:40J. Matus2.1062180R. Jancak1.671111203
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