TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13053636
Played Aug 31Finished
Jiri Matus
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116911118––
Peter Chvojka
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJiri Matus above · Peter Chvojka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8
76 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Matus 1–1 Peter Chvojka Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chvojka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chvojka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatus 1.91 / Chvojka 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chvojka)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13053636
Matus1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 26 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back27% 8 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Chvojka1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 33 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 28 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMatus1wins
AwayChvojka1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMatusChvojkaM − CBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.534.0+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatusChvojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 401 vs 130 / 28451.4%45.8%206 / 401 vs 130 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChvojkaMatus 1.91/Chvojka 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chvojka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Matus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 1 · 01:10J. Matus—1111113P. Chvojka—7480
LDec 14 · 06:45J. Matus—11312482P. Chvojka—6111011113
J. Matus10
WSep 1 · 17:15P. Sturma—3790J. Matus—1111113LSep 1 · 16:15P. Sturma1.9191211113J. Matus1.801110851WSep 1 · 15:15J. Matus1.8011119113L. Jr1.91841191WSep 1 · 13:45J. Jnr1.91111291182J. Matus1.801310117113WSep 1 · 01:10P. Chvojka1.577480J. Matus2.251111113LSep 1 · 24:10J. Matus1.7381111562J. Jnr2.00118311113LAug 31 · 13:40O. Vaclahovsky1.50118411113J. Matus2.5091111372WAug 29 · 21:10R. Jancak1.6888111182J. Matus1.98111178113LAug 29 · 19:40J. Matus2.1062180R. Jancak1.671111203WAug 29 · 18:40J. Matus1.8081111113P. Sturma1.91113741
P. Chvojka10
LSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192LSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192LSep 4 · 11:15P. Chvojka2.00711991J. Sevecek1.7311611113LSep 4 · 09:45M. Lorenc1.731111143P. Chvojka2.0067120WSep 3 · 21:13P. Chvojka1.739111110113T. Ogrocki2.0011891242LSep 3 · 20:10O. Vaclahovsky1.731011611113P. Chvojka2.0012811762WSep 3 · 19:10P. Chvojka2.001110118113I. Jemelka1.7321231152WSep 3 · 17:40T. Ogrocki2.0071131162P. Chvojka1.73117118113LSep 1 · 01:10P. Chvojka1.577480J. Matus2.251111113LAug 31 · 23:40O. Vaclahovsky1.801112117113P. Chvojka1.91910131172
Upcoming Matches
J. Matus
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P. Chvojka
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