Martin Sobota vs Richard Jancak 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12481274

Played Aug 23Finished

Martin Sobota

Home

2.20

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

711411911––––

Richard Jancak

Away

1.62

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingMartin Sobota above · Richard Jancak below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 53 set 3, 9-11

53 points played in total.

H2H Martin Sobota 4–8 Richard Jancak Martin Sobota has won 4 of their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Jancak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sobota form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSobota 2.20 / Jancak 1.61

Signal prob.38% / 62%

Edge (Jancak)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #12481274

Sobota2.20

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog47% won 35 of 75

Down 0–1, comes back23% 8 of 35

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18

Jancak1.61

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite57% won 56 of 98

Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19

Up 1–0, closes it67% 33 of 49

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSobota3wins

AwayJancak7wins

4 of 10 to a deciderJancak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSobota75%3 of 4

AwayJancak100%6 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sobota4Jancak6n = 10Jancak took 6 of 10

S2Sobota3Jancak7n = 10Jancak took 7 of 10

S3Sobota4Jancak6n = 10Jancak took 6 of 10

S4Sobota6Jancak3n = 9Sobota took 6 of 9

S5Sobota1Jancak3n = 4Jancak took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSobotaJancakS − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.042.8−2.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSobotaJancakBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 161 vs 123 / 24244.1%50.8%71 / 161 vs 123 / 242Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Jancak

Sobota 2.20/Jancak 1.61

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

61.7%

Jancak · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Jancak won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 23 · 16:15M. Sobota—15611113R. Jancak—1311941

LAug 8 · 13:40M. Sobota—1011981R. Jancak—12711113

LJul 31 · 09:40M. Sobota—125121492R. Jancak—14111012113

WJul 26 · 06:45M. Sobota—11127113R. Jancak—6101161

LJul 25 · 09:14M. Sobota—1171011102R. Jancak—911126123

LJul 25 · 07:15M. Sobota—751191R. Jancak—11117113

WJun 21 · 15:15M. Sobota—119911113R. Jancak—81111992

LJun 19 · 13:45M. Sobota—44111262R. Jancak—1111510113

LJun 7 · 16:10M. Sobota—8111181R. Jancak—11513113

LJun 6 · 15:10M. Sobota—6670R. Jancak—1111113

M. Sobota10

WSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113 LSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372 WSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163 WSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261 LSep 5 · 08:40M. Sobota1.80811111042L. Stempak1.91119712113 LSep 5 · 07:40L. Jr1.83113911133M. Sobota1.83211117112 WSep 5 · 07:10L. Stempak1.8093121152M. Sobota1.911111107113 LSep 5 · 06:10M. Sobota1.73810151292F. Mandrysz2.0011121310113 WAug 23 · 16:15R. Jancak1.531311941M. Sobota2.3815611113 WAug 23 · 15:14M. Sobota1.9111117113J. Matus1.80971171

R. Jancak10

LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113 WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113 LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152 LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113 LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101 LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113 LSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942 LSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261 LSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113 LAug 23 · 16:15R. Jancak1.531311941M. Sobota2.3815611113

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