TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086703
Played Sep 6Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111161012119114
Richard Jancak
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:09 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Richard Jancak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 93 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 56.2%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 18–10 Richard Jancak Richard Jancak has won 10 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jancak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-10 in 28
Sindler
Correct
gap of 8 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1351 vs Jancak 1293
Sindler
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 60% vs Jancak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 60% vs Jancak 30%
Sindler
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler +2 · Jancak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Jancak) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 2.20 / Jancak 1.61
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Jancak)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13086703
Sindler2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 99 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back33% 28 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Jancak1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it67% 40 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler6wins
AwayJancak4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler71.4%5 of 7
AwayJancak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler7Jancak3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S2Sindler6Jancak4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S3Sindler6Jancak4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S4Sindler4Jancak4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerJancakS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.035.7+1.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerJancakBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 747 vs 135 / 26851%50.4%381 / 747 vs 135 / 268Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JancakSindler 2.20/Jancak 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.3%
Jancak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 13:13J. Sindler—11119113R. Jancak—781171
LSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler—121145102R. Jancak—1061111123
WAug 30 · 13:40J. Sindler—1111113R. Jancak—7870
WAug 15 · 09:20J. Sindler—1111113R. Jancak—5990
WAug 15 · 07:15J. Sindler—11911113R. Jancak—811261
WAug 13 · 07:40J. Sindler—11811113R. Jancak—311981
LJul 30 · 13:23J. Sindler—981261R. Jancak—111110113
WJul 30 · 10:10J. Sindler—21413113R. Jancak—11121191
LJul 24 · 09:40J. Sindler—136591R. Jancak—111111113
LJul 3 · 10:15J. Sindler—311691R. Jancak—11811113
J. Sindler10
LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113WSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113LSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123WSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122
R. Jancak10
LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261LSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113WSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123WSep 3 · 11:15R. Sedivy2.007650R. Jancak1.731111113
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