TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13068173
Played Sep 3Finished
Radek Sedivy
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–4Last 5Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611511––––
Richard Jancak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRichard Jancak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Sedivy above · Richard Jancak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Richard Jancak at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:48What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jancak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Sedivy 1116 vs Jancak 1295
Jancak
Correct
both rated, 179 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedivy 20% vs Jancak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedivy 20% vs Jancak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedivy -2 · Jancak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jancak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jancak form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedivy 2.00 / Jancak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jancak)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13068173
Sedivy2.00
20%won 1 of 5 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 1 of 5
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Jancak1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 64 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it66% 38 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedivyJancakBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 5 vs 133 / 26420%50.4%1 / 5 vs 133 / 264Avg sets wonper match1.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match32.639.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JancakSedivy 2.00/Jancak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jancak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jancak won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Sedivy7
LSep 3 · 12:45L. Zustina1.28115114113R. Sedivy3.5051191172LSep 3 · 12:15L. Zustina1.611111113R. Sedivy2.209880LSep 3 · 09:45J. Sindler1.4471112113R. Sedivy2.631141091LAug 26 · 12:40R. Sedivy1.73711821P. Sturma2.0011811113WAug 26 · 12:10P. Sturma1.73128981R. Sedivy2.00101111113LAug 26 · 11:09R. Sedivy2.75711761J. Sindler1.4011611113LAug 26 · 09:40O. Vaclahovsky2.201211133R. Sedivy1.61106110
R. Jancak10
LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942LSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261LSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113WSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123
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