TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086647
Played Sep 6Finished
Richard Jancak
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311119611511––
Filip Mandrysz
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeFilip Mandrysz to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Jancak above · Filip Mandrysz below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 3-6
Point 60 set 4, 3-6 — our read held Filip Mandrysz at 59.3%
60 points drawn · the score is 7 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Richard Jancak 6–17 Filip Mandrysz Richard Jancak has won 6 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:48What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mandrysz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-17 in 23
Mandrysz
Correct
gap of 11 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jancak 1206 vs Mandrysz 1361
Mandrysz
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jancak 40% vs Mandrysz 60%
Mandrysz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jancak 30% vs Mandrysz 50%
Mandrysz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jancak -3 · Mandrysz -2
Jancak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Mandrysz)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJancak 2.20 / Mandrysz 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Mandrysz)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13086647
Jancak2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 44 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back35% 19 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Mandrysz1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 75 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it72% 51 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJancak2wins
AwayMandrysz8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMandrysz leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJancak33.3%1 of 3
AwayMandrysz85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jancak3Mandrysz7n = 10Mandrysz took 7 of 10
S2Jancak5Mandrysz5n = 10split evenly
S3Jancak4Mandrysz6n = 10Mandrysz took 6 of 10
S4Jancak1Mandrysz7n = 8Mandrysz took 7 of 8
S5Jancak1Mandrysz2n = 3Mandrysz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJancakMandryszJ − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.741.9−6.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJancakMandryszBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 275 vs 215 / 42549.5%50.6%136 / 275 vs 215 / 425Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MandryszJancak 2.20/Mandrysz 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Mandrysz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mandrysz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 16:50R. Jancak—8311101F. Mandrysz—11119123
LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak—311651F. Mandrysz—11911113
LAug 30 · 16:38R. Jancak—9980F. Mandrysz—1111113
WAug 30 · 16:10R. Jancak—11811113F. Mandrysz—611561
LAug 29 · 16:10R. Jancak—119551F. Mandrysz—91111113
LAug 17 · 08:48R. Jancak—101311832F. Mandrysz—1211611113
WAug 17 · 08:10R. Jancak—1411119113F. Mandrysz—16991172
LAug 8 · 15:40R. Jancak—41030F. Mandrysz—1112113
LJul 20 · 05:45R. Jancak—111111552F. Mandrysz—581311113
LJul 3 · 13:25R. Jancak—10139101F. Mandrysz—121111123
R. Jancak10
LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101LSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942LSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261LSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113WSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123WSep 3 · 11:15R. Sedivy2.007650R. Jancak1.731111113
F. Mandrysz10
LSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131WSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101LSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163LSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.831114113L. Stempak1.8371280WSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 5 · 06:10M. Sobota1.73810151292F. Mandrysz2.0011121310113LSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 16:15L. Jr2.00711116113F. Mandrysz1.7311391142
Upcoming Matches
R. Jancak
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F. Mandrysz
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