TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081673
Played Sep 5Finished
Filip Mandrysz
Home
1.72
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118116––––
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Mandrysz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Mandrysz above · Lukas Krupnik Jr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Filip Mandrysz at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mandrysz 9–12 Lukas Krupnik Jr Filip Mandrysz has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:39What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.72 (54%)
Mandrysz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Jr
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mandrysz 1348 vs Jr 1379
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mandrysz 60% vs Jr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mandrysz 60% vs Jr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mandrysz +3 · Jr +1
Mandrysz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mandrysz)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMandrysz 1.72 / Jr 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mandrysz)+0.6pp
TT Cup · #13081673
Mandrysz1.72
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 73 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it71% 49 of 69
Jr2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 81 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back39% 26 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMandrysz4wins
AwayJr6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMandryszn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJr50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mandrysz2Jr8n = 10Jr took 8 of 10
S2Mandrysz4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Mandrysz5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S4Mandrysz5Jr2n = 7Mandrysz took 5 of 7
S5Mandrysz1Jr2n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMandryszJrM − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.038.0−2.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMandryszJrBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 420 vs 226 / 42650.5%53.1%212 / 420 vs 226 / 426Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.840.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MandryszMandrysz 1.72/Jr 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.4%
Mandrysz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mandrysz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 06:40F. Mandrysz—811119113L. Jr—11701182
LSep 3 · 16:15F. Mandrysz—11391142L. Jr—711116113
WAug 8 · 14:10F. Mandrysz—81112113L. Jr—1151091
WJul 29 · 14:15F. Mandrysz—111111113L. Jr—136961
LJul 28 · 14:10F. Mandrysz—1111511102L. Jr—613117123
LJul 11 · 13:10F. Mandrysz—761341L. Jr—111111113
LJul 11 · 11:10F. Mandrysz—10980L. Jr—1211113
WJul 7 · 11:15F. Mandrysz—111111123L. Jr—1366101
LJul 4 · 09:20F. Mandrysz—5960L. Jr—1111113
LJul 4 · 07:40F. Mandrysz—8350L. Jr—1111113
F. Mandrysz10
LSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131WSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101WSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163LSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.831114113L. Stempak1.8371280WSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 5 · 06:10M. Sobota1.73810151292F. Mandrysz2.0011121310113LSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 16:15L. Jr2.00711116113F. Mandrysz1.7311391142
L. Jr10
WSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113LSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113WSep 5 · 07:40L. Jr1.83113911133M. Sobota1.83211117112LSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 5 · 05:40L. Jr1.91111198113L. Stempak1.8077111192LSep 3 · 17:18L. Jr1.73117311102J. Jnr2.00411118123WSep 3 · 16:15L. Jr2.00711116113F. Mandrysz1.7311391142WSep 3 · 14:45J. Jnr2.001183101L. Jr1.7381111123
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