TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13072575
Played Sep 3Finished
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1147113111181012
Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Jr above · Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 88 set 5, 10-12
88 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Jr 20–11 Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.73 / Jnr 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13072575
Jr1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 95 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it74% 64 of 87
Jnr2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 27 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back32% 9 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr7wins
AwayJnr3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr100%6 of 6
AwayJnr75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Jnr4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr6Jnr4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Jr6Jnr4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Jr4Jnr3n = 7Jr took 4 of 7
S5Jr3Jnr2n = 5Jr took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrJnrJr − JnrBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.537.5+4.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 422 vs 130 / 24753.1%52.6%224 / 422 vs 130 / 247Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.73/Jnr 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 14:45L. Jr—81111123J. Jnr—1183101
WSep 1 · 16:45L. Jr—1114816113J. Jnr—516111462
WSep 1 · 15:45L. Jr—1112113J. Jnr—51080
WAug 28 · 16:54L. Jr—1111113J. Jnr—5490
WAug 28 · 15:10L. Jr—111168113J. Jnr—68111142
WAug 27 · 09:40L. Jr—11116113J. Jnr—681141
LAug 23 · 19:45L. Jr—111111642J. Jnr—135711113
WAug 9 · 21:20L. Jr—119137123J. Jnr—8111111102
LAug 9 · 19:40L. Jr—6950J. Jnr—1111113
LJul 19 · 17:45L. Jr—571111112J. Jnr—111169133
L. Jr10
WSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113LSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113LSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 07:40L. Jr1.83113911133M. Sobota1.83211117112LSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 5 · 05:40L. Jr1.91111198113L. Stempak1.8077111192WSep 3 · 16:15L. Jr2.00711116113F. Mandrysz1.7311391142WSep 3 · 14:45J. Jnr2.001183101L. Jr1.7381111123
J. Jnr10
WSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 14:45J. Jnr2.001183101L. Jr1.7381111123WSep 3 · 13:45J. Jnr1.401111113F. Mandrysz2.757560LSep 1 · 16:45L. Jr1.651114816113J. Jnr2.10516111462LSep 1 · 15:45J. Jnr1.8351080L. Jr1.831112113LSep 1 · 14:45J. Jnr2.2012750P. Sturma1.611411113LSep 1 · 13:45J. Jnr1.91111291182J. Matus1.801310117113WSep 1 · 24:10J. Matus1.7381111562J. Jnr2.00118311113WAug 31 · 17:15J. Jnr1.71117128113O. Vaclahovsky1.93511101152WAug 31 · 15:40O. Vaclahovsky1.67641161J. Jnr2.1011116113
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