TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13053790
Played Aug 31Finished
Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
Home
1.71
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1157111210811115
Oldrich Vaclahovsky
Away
1.93
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:56 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeOldrich Vaclahovsky to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Neuwirth Jnr above · Oldrich Vaclahovsky below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 91 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Oldrich Vaclahovsky at 62.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr 1–0 Oldrich Vaclahovsky Oldrich Vaclahovsky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (53%)
Jnr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1334 vs Vaclahovsky 1367
Vaclahovsky
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 20% vs Vaclahovsky 60%
Vaclahovsky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 40% vs Vaclahovsky 60%
Vaclahovsky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr +1 · Vaclahovsky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jnr) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 1.71 / Vaclahovsky 1.93
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vaclahovsky)-1.0pp
TT Cup · #13053790
Jnr1.71
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 44 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Vaclahovsky1.93
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJnr1wins
AwayVaclahovsky0wins
Jnr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJnrVaclahovskyJ − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.027.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrVaclahovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 239 vs 108 / 23653.1%45.8%127 / 239 vs 108 / 236Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrJnr 1.71/Vaclahovsky 1.93
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 31 · 15:40J. Jnr—11116113O. Vaclahovsky—641161
J. Jnr10
WSep 3 · 17:18L. Jr1.73117311102J. Jnr2.00411118123WSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 14:45J. Jnr2.001183101L. Jr1.7381111123WSep 3 · 13:45J. Jnr1.401111113F. Mandrysz2.757560LSep 1 · 16:45L. Jr1.651114816113J. Jnr2.10516111462LSep 1 · 15:45J. Jnr1.8351080L. Jr1.831112113LSep 1 · 14:45J. Jnr2.2012750P. Sturma1.611411113LSep 1 · 13:45J. Jnr1.91111291182J. Matus1.801310117113WSep 1 · 24:10J. Matus1.7381111562J. Jnr2.00118311113WAug 31 · 15:40O. Vaclahovsky1.67641161J. Jnr2.1011116113
O. Vaclahovsky10
LSep 4 · 13:20O. Vaclahovsky1.7710980J. Sevecek1.871211113WSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192WSep 4 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.731011991O. Vaclahovsky2.0012711113WSep 4 · 10:15J. Sevecek1.73115781O. Vaclahovsky2.0071111113WSep 3 · 20:44I. Jemelka1.8391191192O. Vaclahovsky1.83115116113WSep 3 · 20:10O. Vaclahovsky1.731011611113P. Chvojka2.0012811762LSep 3 · 18:40T. Ogrocki1.6112111113O. Vaclahovsky2.201011871LSep 3 · 18:10I. Jemelka2.101011712113O. Vaclahovsky1.67126111052WAug 31 · 23:40O. Vaclahovsky1.801112117113P. Chvojka1.91910131172LAug 31 · 15:40O. Vaclahovsky1.67641161J. Jnr2.1011116113
Upcoming Matches
J. Jnr
Nothing scheduled
O. Vaclahovsky
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