TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070128
Played Sep 3Finished
Ivan Jemelka
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121167111210115
Oldrich Vaclahovsky
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:28 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeIvan Jemelka to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Jemelka above · Oldrich Vaclahovsky below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 95 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Ivan Jemelka at 55.4%
95 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vaclahovsky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jemelka 1419 vs Vaclahovsky 1355
Jemelka
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jemelka 80% vs Vaclahovsky 60%
Jemelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jemelka 70% vs Vaclahovsky 50%
Jemelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jemelka +1 · Vaclahovsky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vaclahovsky) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jemelka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJemelka 2.10 / Vaclahovsky 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vaclahovsky)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13070128
Jemelka2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog57% won 20 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Vaclahovsky1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite48% won 29 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it79% 22 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJemelkaVaclahovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 96 vs 108 / 23746.9%45.6%45 / 96 vs 108 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclahovskyJemelka 2.10/Vaclahovsky 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Vaclahovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jemelka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Jemelka10
WSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090LSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113WSep 5 · 17:40I. Jemelka2.101812113R. Benesz1.67161070LSep 3 · 20:44I. Jemelka1.8391191192O. Vaclahovsky1.83115116113LSep 3 · 19:40T. Ogrocki1.8031611113I. Jemelka1.911114561LSep 3 · 19:10P. Chvojka2.001110118113I. Jemelka1.7321231152WAug 26 · 09:13J. Sevecek1.50612451I. Jemelka2.50111011113LAug 26 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.801111113I. Jemelka1.918920WAug 26 · 07:10J. Matus2.0074100I. Jemelka1.731111123
O. Vaclahovsky10
LSep 4 · 13:20O. Vaclahovsky1.7710980J. Sevecek1.871211113WSep 4 · 12:15O. Vaclahovsky1.80111192113P. Chvojka1.9179111192WSep 4 · 10:45M. Lorenc1.731011991O. Vaclahovsky2.0012711113WSep 4 · 10:15J. Sevecek1.73115781O. Vaclahovsky2.0071111113WSep 3 · 20:44I. Jemelka1.8391191192O. Vaclahovsky1.83115116113WSep 3 · 20:10O. Vaclahovsky1.731011611113P. Chvojka2.0012811762LSep 3 · 18:40T. Ogrocki1.6112111113O. Vaclahovsky2.201011871WAug 31 · 23:40O. Vaclahovsky1.801112117113P. Chvojka1.91910131172LAug 31 · 17:15J. Jnr1.71117128113O. Vaclahovsky1.93511101152LAug 31 · 15:40O. Vaclahovsky1.67641161J. Jnr2.1011116113
Upcoming Matches
I. Jemelka
Nothing scheduled
O. Vaclahovsky
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