TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084497
Played Sep 5Finished
Jiri Vanous
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71121111913111113
Ivan Jemelka
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Vanous to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Vanous above · Ivan Jemelka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 99 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Jiri Vanous at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Vanous 1–0 Ivan Jemelka Ivan Jemelka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (52%)
Vanous
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vanous 1440 vs Jemelka 1364
Vanous
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vanous 80% vs Jemelka 40%
Vanous
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vanous 60% vs Jemelka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vanous +3 · Jemelka +1
Vanous
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vanous)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jemelka form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVanous 1.73 / Jemelka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vanous)+1.5pp
TT Cup · #13084497
Vanous1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 27 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Jemelka1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog57% won 21 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back29% 5 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVanous1wins
AwayJemelka0wins
Vanous leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVanousJemelkaV − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.034.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanousJemelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 285 vs 48 / 10344.2%46.6%126 / 285 vs 48 / 103Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanousVanous 1.73/Jemelka 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vanous · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jemelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 18:40J. Vanous—11711113I. Jemelka—811961
J. Vanous10
WSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113WSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113WSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152LSep 2 · 17:40V. Molin1.5391111113J. Vanous2.38119851LSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113WSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113LSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113
I. Jemelka10
WSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090LSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113WSep 5 · 17:40I. Jemelka2.101812113R. Benesz1.67161070LSep 3 · 20:44I. Jemelka1.8391191192O. Vaclahovsky1.83115116113LSep 3 · 19:40T. Ogrocki1.8031611113I. Jemelka1.911114561LSep 3 · 19:10P. Chvojka2.001110118113I. Jemelka1.7321231152WSep 3 · 18:10I. Jemelka2.101011712113O. Vaclahovsky1.67126111052WAug 26 · 09:13J. Sevecek1.50612451I. Jemelka2.50111011113LAug 26 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.801111113I. Jemelka1.918920WAug 26 · 07:10J. Matus2.0074100I. Jemelka1.731111123
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