TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067169
Played Sep 2Finished
Jiri Vanous
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11391110121012––
Michal Janik
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Janik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Vanous above · Michal Janik below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 78 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Michal Janik at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Vanous 3–4 Michal Janik Jiri Vanous has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:40What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vanous
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vanous 1384 vs Janik 1392
Janik
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vanous 60% vs Janik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vanous 50% vs Janik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vanous +2 · Janik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Janik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVanous 1.80 / Janik 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Janik)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13067169
Vanous1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 27 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Janik1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 32 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back21% 10 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVanous3wins
AwayJanik4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderJanik leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVanous40%2 of 5
AwayJanikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vanous5Janik2n = 7Vanous took 5 of 7
S2Vanous4Janik3n = 7Vanous took 4 of 7
S3Vanous4Janik3n = 7Vanous took 4 of 7
S4Vanous1Janik5n = 6Janik took 5 of 6
S5Vanous1Janik2n = 3Janik took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricVanousJanikV − JBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match41.040.4+0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanousJanikBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 281 vs 120 / 27243.8%44.1%123 / 281 vs 120 / 272Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanikVanous 1.80/Janik 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Janik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Janik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous—611119113M. Janik—11891152
LApr 24 · 21:20J. Vanous—1191321M. Janik—91115113
LApr 24 · 19:45J. Vanous—1210681M. Janik—101211113
LApr 15 · 21:25J. Vanous—11711882M. Janik—811711113
LApr 15 · 19:45J. Vanous—111311752M. Janik—1311911113
WApr 8 · 20:50J. Vanous—111110113M. Janik—481241
WApr 8 · 19:10J. Vanous—1111113M. Janik—9360
J. Vanous10
LSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113WSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113WSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113WSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152LSep 2 · 17:40V. Molin1.5391111113J. Vanous2.38119851LSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113WSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113LSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113
M. Janik10
WSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152WSep 2 · 18:10M. Janik2.001111119113O. Skvor1.7313761132WSep 2 · 16:39O. Skvor1.731011971M. Janik2.0012711113LSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481LSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 14:10M. Janik2.00571181O. Skvor1.7311117113WAug 27 · 20:38K. Zeman1.80711981M. Janik1.9111811113LAug 27 · 19:40V. Reska2.00111011113M. Janik1.73912741LAug 27 · 19:10F. Theodor2.1071111113M. Janik1.67118431
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