TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063894
Played Sep 2Finished
Michal Janik
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113117116911113
Ondrej Skvor
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Janik above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 93 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Michal Janik 2–2 Ondrej Skvor Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:22What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skvor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janik 1393 vs Skvor 1375
Janik
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janik 40% vs Skvor 20%
Janik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janik 40% vs Skvor 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Janik +1 · Skvor -3
Skvor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skvor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanik 2.00 / Skvor 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skvor)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13063894
Janik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 32 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back21% 10 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Skvor1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 35 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it66% 23 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJanik2wins
AwaySkvor2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySkvor66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janik1Skvor3n = 4Skvor took 3 of 4
S2Janik1Skvor3n = 4Skvor took 3 of 4
S3Janik3Skvor1n = 4Janik took 3 of 4
S4Janik2Skvor1n = 3Janik took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricJanikSkvorJ − SBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match33.835.0−1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanikSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 269 vs 59 / 11643.9%50.9%118 / 269 vs 59 / 116Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorJanik 2.00/Skvor 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Janik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 2 · 16:39M. Janik—12711113O. Skvor—1011971
LSep 2 · 14:10M. Janik—571181O. Skvor—11117113
LAug 23 · 10:10M. Janik—9760O. Skvor—1111113
WAug 23 · 06:10M. Janik—81111113O. Skvor—114871
M. Janik10
WSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152WSep 2 · 16:39O. Skvor1.731011971M. Janik2.0012711113LSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481LSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 14:10M. Janik2.00571181O. Skvor1.7311117113WAug 27 · 20:38K. Zeman1.80711981M. Janik1.9111811113LAug 27 · 19:40V. Reska2.00111011113M. Janik1.73912741LAug 27 · 19:10F. Theodor2.1071111113M. Janik1.67118431
O. Skvor10
WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123WSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113LSep 2 · 16:39O. Skvor1.731011971M. Janik2.0012711113WSep 2 · 14:10M. Janik2.00571181O. Skvor1.7311117113
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