TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081744
Played Sep 5Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511611––––
Ondrej Skvor
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:00 and never touched — 65.9% is still 65.9%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
65.9%
65.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 52 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 65.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 4–3 Ondrej Skvor Ondrej Skvor has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:00What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Skvor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1336 vs Skvor 1470
Skvor
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 80% vs Skvor 60%
Sindler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 50% vs Skvor 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler +2 · Skvor -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Skvor) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 2.50 / Skvor 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Skvor)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13081744
Sindler2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 98 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back33% 27 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Skvor1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 37 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it64% 25 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSindler4wins
AwaySkvor3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSindler leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler66.7%2 of 3
AwaySkvor50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler3Skvor4n = 7Skvor took 4 of 7
S2Sindler3Skvor4n = 7Skvor took 4 of 7
S3Sindler3Skvor4n = 7Skvor took 4 of 7
S4Sindler3Skvor2n = 5Sindler took 3 of 5
S5Sindler2Skvor1n = 3Sindler took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricSindlerSkvorSindler − SkvorBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match37.941.3−3.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime380 / 746 vs 66 / 12950.9%51.2%380 / 746 vs 66 / 129Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorSindler 2.50/Skvor 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 23 · 12:10J. Sindler—5870O. Skvor—1111113
WAug 15 · 06:15J. Sindler—12139133O. Skvor—101111111
WAug 1 · 12:46J. Sindler—1012112113O. Skvor—121071132
WAug 1 · 12:10J. Sindler—71112113O. Skvor—1191071
WJul 18 · 17:20J. Sindler—117118113O. Skvor—91171182
LJul 18 · 15:10J. Sindler—14931192O. Skvor—1211119113
LJul 11 · 14:40J. Sindler—5570O. Skvor—1111113
J. Sindler10
LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113WSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113LSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123WSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122
O. Skvor10
WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113LSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113
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