TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063944
Played Sep 2Finished
Ondrej Skvor
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611911––––
Jiri Vanous
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:20 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 66.5%
55 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Skvor 4–2 Jiri Vanous Jiri Vanous has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Skvor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Skvor
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvor 1393 vs Vanous 1359
Skvor
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvor 20% vs Vanous 40%
Vanous
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvor 40% vs Vanous 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvor +1 · Vanous +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Skvor) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 1.53 / Vanous 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Skvor)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13063944
Skvor1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 35 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it66% 23 of 35
Vanous2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 45 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSkvor4wins
AwayVanous2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSkvor leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvorn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVanous50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvor2Vanous4n = 6Vanous took 4 of 6
S2Skvor3Vanous3n = 6split evenly
S3Skvor5Vanous1n = 6Skvor took 5 of 6
S4Skvor2Vanous3n = 5Vanous took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSkvorVanousS − VBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match43.038.5+4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 118 vs 122 / 28050.9%43.6%60 / 118 vs 122 / 280Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorSkvor 1.53/Vanous 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.8%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vanous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 30 · 19:15O. Skvor—691611113J. Vanous—111114672
WAug 7 · 21:20O. Skvor—1111113113J. Vanous—71361162
WAug 7 · 20:15O. Skvor—81112113J. Vanous—1171031
LMay 15 · 18:15O. Skvor—1811681J. Vanous—20511113
WApr 18 · 21:13O. Skvor—1111113J. Vanous—5570
LApr 18 · 18:09O. Skvor—9811121J. Vanous—11118143
O. Skvor10
WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123WSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113
J. Vanous10
LSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113WSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152LSep 2 · 17:40V. Molin1.5391111113J. Vanous2.38119851LSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113WSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113LSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113
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