TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067170
Played Sep 2Finished
Ondrej Skvor
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012711––––
Vojtech Molin
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeVojtech Molin to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Skvor above · Vojtech Molin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Vojtech Molin at 63.1%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Skvor 1–0 Vojtech Molin Vojtech Molin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skvor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skvor 1367 vs Molin 1405
Molin
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvor 20% vs Molin 60%
Molin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvor 30% vs Molin 50%
Molin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvor -1 · Molin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Skvor) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 1.57 / Molin 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Skvor)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13067170
Skvor1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 35 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it66% 23 of 35
Molin2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 11 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back47% 7 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back25% 2 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkvor1wins
AwayMolin0wins
Skvor leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkvorMolinS − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.021.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 119 vs 60 / 13150.4%45.8%60 / 119 vs 60 / 131Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorSkvor 1.57/Molin 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Molin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 2 · 18:40O. Skvor—1111113V. Molin—9570
O. Skvor10
WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123WSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113
V. Molin10
WSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192WSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113WSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680LSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 18:40V. Molin1.919570O. Skvor1.801111113
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