TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070668
Played Sep 3Finished
Filip Theodor
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116118––––
Vojtech Molin
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Theodor to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Theodor above · Vojtech Molin below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Filip Theodor at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Filip Theodor 3–4 Vojtech Molin Filip Theodor has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Molin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Theodor 1429 vs Molin 1418
Theodor
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Theodor 80% vs Molin 60%
Theodor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Theodor 80% vs Molin 50%
Theodor
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Theodor +2 · Molin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Theodor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Theodor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTheodor 1.91 / Molin 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Theodor)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13070668
Theodor1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog33% won 17 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Molin1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 16 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeTheodor3wins
AwayMolin4wins
4 of 7 to a deciderMolin leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTheodor66.7%2 of 3
AwayMolin75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Theodor3Molin4n = 7Molin took 4 of 7
S2Theodor3Molin4n = 7Molin took 4 of 7
S3Theodor4Molin3n = 7Theodor took 4 of 7
S4Theodor1Molin3n = 4Molin took 3 of 4
S5Theodor2Molin2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricTheodorMolinT − MBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match38.739.9−1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTheodorMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 164 vs 61 / 13245.1%46.2%74 / 164 vs 61 / 132Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TheodorTheodor 1.91/Molin 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Theodor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Theodor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 10 · 15:15F. Theodor—119118113V. Molin—51171192
WJul 29 · 18:10F. Theodor—913118113V. Molin—111161172
LJul 27 · 20:10F. Theodor—6790V. Molin—1111113
LJan 21 · 22:15F. Theodor—118111252V. Molin—911514113
LJan 21 · 19:15F. Theodor—71191382V. Molin—1191111113
WJan 15 · 22:15F. Theodor—1111113V. Molin—6960
LJan 15 · 21:15F. Theodor—6490V. Molin—1111113
F. Theodor10
LSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113WSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551WAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482LAug 31 · 18:40F. Theodor2.00931161K. Zeman1.7311113113WAug 31 · 17:40F. Theodor1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.387650WAug 30 · 17:09O. Skvor1.578630F. Theodor2.251111113LAug 30 · 15:45F. Theodor2.00113741O. Skvor1.7371111113WAug 30 · 14:45F. Theodor1.83117118113P. Jokiel1.8371171172
V. Molin10
WSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192WSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113WSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113WSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113LSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 18:40V. Molin1.919570O. Skvor1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Theodor1 of 3 neutral
V. Molin
Nothing scheduled
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