TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13046444
Played Aug 30Finished
Filip Theodor
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117311711411––
Ondrej Skvor
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:07 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Theodor above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 3-8
Point 61 set 4, 3-8 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 54.5%
61 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skvor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Theodor 1379 vs Skvor 1461
Skvor
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Theodor 100% vs Skvor 80%
Theodor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Theodor 70% vs Skvor 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Theodor +5 · Skvor +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skvor) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTheodor 2.00 / Skvor 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skvor)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13046444
Theodor2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 16 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Skvor1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 30 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it66% 21 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTheodorSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 158 vs 55 / 10644.3%51.9%70 / 158 vs 55 / 106Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorTheodor 2.00/Skvor 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skvor won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Theodor10
LSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113WSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680WAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551WAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482LAug 31 · 18:40F. Theodor2.00931161K. Zeman1.7311113113WAug 31 · 17:40F. Theodor1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.387650WAug 30 · 17:09O. Skvor1.578630F. Theodor2.251111113WAug 30 · 14:45F. Theodor1.83117118113P. Jokiel1.8371171172
O. Skvor10
WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123WSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LAug 30 · 17:09O. Skvor1.578630F. Theodor2.251111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Theodor1 of 3 neutral
O. Skvor
Nothing scheduled
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