TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13051989
Played Aug 31Finished
Filip Theodor
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911311113611––
Karel Zeman
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarel Zeman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Theodor above · Karel Zeman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 65 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Karel Zeman at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Filip Theodor 4–9 Karel Zeman Filip Theodor has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:45What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Zeman
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Theodor 1394 vs Zeman 1389
Theodor
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Theodor 80% vs Zeman 20%
Theodor
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Theodor 70% vs Zeman 20%
Theodor
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Theodor +2 · Zeman -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zeman form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTheodor 2.00 / Zeman 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Theodor)-0.3pp
TT Cup · #13051989
Theodor2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 17 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Zeman1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 61 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it73% 48 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTheodor3wins
AwayZeman7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderZeman leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTheodor60%3 of 5
AwayZeman100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Theodor5Zeman5n = 10split evenly
S2Theodor5Zeman5n = 10split evenly
S3Theodor7Zeman3n = 10Theodor took 7 of 10
S4Theodor3Zeman4n = 7Zeman took 4 of 7
S5Theodor1Zeman6n = 7Zeman took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTheodorZemanT − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.541.7−1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTheodorZemanBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 161 vs 164 / 29544.7%55.6%72 / 161 vs 164 / 295Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZemanTheodor 2.00/Zeman 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 20:10F. Theodor—1111133K. Zeman—78110
LAug 9 · 20:45F. Theodor—8980K. Zeman—1111113
LAug 9 · 20:15F. Theodor—71111992K. Zeman—118211113
WJul 29 · 21:03F. Theodor—145911113K. Zeman—121111662
LJul 29 · 19:40F. Theodor—48111262K. Zeman—1111710113
LJul 7 · 17:45F. Theodor—11116392K. Zeman—961111113
LApr 20 · 18:45F. Theodor—81111622K. Zeman—117911113
WFeb 25 · 18:40F. Theodor—1112113K. Zeman—81050
LFeb 18 · 19:10F. Theodor—15611792K. Zeman—1311511113
LFeb 9 · 17:45F. Theodor—136111162K. Zeman—151138113
F. Theodor10
LSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113WSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680WAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551WAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482WAug 31 · 17:40F. Theodor1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.387650WAug 30 · 17:09O. Skvor1.578630F. Theodor2.251111113LAug 30 · 15:45F. Theodor2.00113741O. Skvor1.7371111113WAug 30 · 14:45F. Theodor1.83117118113P. Jokiel1.8371171172
K. Zeman10
WSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670LSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113WSep 1 · 18:10K. Zeman1.7381113123K. Przeczek2.0011711101LAug 31 · 20:40T. Ogrocki2.50611811113K. Zeman1.5011511892LAug 31 · 20:10K. Zeman1.445880T. Ogrocki2.631111113LAug 31 · 18:10P. Jokiel1.8371411113K. Zeman1.831112561WAug 30 · 20:45J. Vanous2.10661181K. Zeman1.6711119113LAug 30 · 20:15K. Zeman1.6191380J. Vanous2.201115113LAug 30 · 18:45V. Reska1.80125711113K. Zeman1.91101111542
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