TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13061015
Played Sep 1Finished
Karel Zeman
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116117––––
Ondrej Kus
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingKarel Zeman above · Ondrej Kus below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7
53 points played in total.
H2H Karel Zeman 4–4 Ondrej Kus Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZeman 1.91 / Kus 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kus)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13061015
Zeman1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 28 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back38% 12 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Kus1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 50 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it67% 36 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeZeman4wins
AwayKus4wins
5 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeman75%3 of 4
AwayKus75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zeman4Kus4n = 8split evenly
S2Zeman4Kus4n = 8split evenly
S3Zeman7Kus1n = 8Zeman took 7 of 8
S4Zeman2Kus4n = 6Kus took 4 of 6
S5Zeman2Kus3n = 5Kus took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricZemanKusZ − KBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match40.938.8+2.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZemanKusBasisWin rate · lifetime167 / 301 vs 255 / 50755.5%50.3%167 / 301 vs 255 / 507Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KusZeman 1.91/Kus 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 1 · 19:40K. Zeman—6101181O. Kus—11124113
LAug 19 · 19:40K. Zeman—61111472O. Kus—116611113
WAug 17 · 20:45K. Zeman—1411113O. Kus—12370
LAug 17 · 18:15K. Zeman—11511772O. Kus—611911113
WAug 11 · 20:40K. Zeman—1111113O. Kus—8470
WAug 11 · 18:15K. Zeman—116411113O. Kus—61111642
WApr 5 · 15:45K. Zeman—1311117133O. Kus—159811112
LMar 14 · 13:10K. Zeman—79111172O. Kus—111194113
K. Zeman10
LSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113WSep 1 · 18:10K. Zeman1.7381113123K. Przeczek2.0011711101LAug 31 · 20:40T. Ogrocki2.50611811113K. Zeman1.5011511892LAug 31 · 20:10K. Zeman1.445880T. Ogrocki2.631111113WAug 31 · 18:40F. Theodor2.00931161K. Zeman1.7311113113LAug 31 · 18:10P. Jokiel1.8371411113K. Zeman1.831112561WAug 30 · 20:45J. Vanous2.10661181K. Zeman1.6711119113LAug 30 · 20:15K. Zeman1.6191380J. Vanous2.201115113LAug 30 · 18:45V. Reska1.80125711113K. Zeman1.91101111542
O. Kus10
LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890LAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny1.571210118113O. Kus2.25101291162
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