TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13039530
Played Aug 29Finished
Jakub Volny
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12101012119811116
Ondrej Kus
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:51 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Volny to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Volny above · Ondrej Kus below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 100 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Volny at 60.1%
100 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Volny 12–7 Ondrej Kus Ondrej Kus has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:51What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Volny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Volny
Correct
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volny 1460 vs Kus 1447
Volny
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volny 40% vs Kus 80%
Kus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volny 40% vs Kus 60%
Kus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volny +2 · Kus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Volny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 1.57 / Kus 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Volny)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13039530
Volny1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 45 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36
Kus2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 76 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back29% 22 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolny7wins
AwayKus3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVolny leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolny100%6 of 6
AwayKus75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volny6Kus4n = 10Volny took 6 of 10
S2Volny5Kus5n = 10split evenly
S3Volny7Kus3n = 10Volny took 7 of 10
S4Volny2Kus3n = 5Kus took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolnyKusV − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.133.8+3.3per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnyKusBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 340 vs 253 / 50447.9%50.2%163 / 340 vs 253 / 504Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyVolny 1.57/Kus 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny—811771O. Kus—11611113
WAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny—1210118113O. Kus—101291162
WAug 17 · 20:15J. Volny—11811113O. Kus—511651
WAug 16 · 14:08J. Volny—115118113O. Kus—91181142
WJul 26 · 21:13J. Volny—1411133O. Kus—129110
LJul 26 · 19:40J. Volny—105120O. Kus—1211143
WJul 17 · 11:45J. Volny—91111113O. Kus—115761
WJul 15 · 19:45J. Volny—1111113O. Kus—8970
LJul 14 · 06:40J. Volny—77120O. Kus—1111143
WMay 8 · 13:45J. Volny—1111113O. Kus—6890
J. Volny10
WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981WSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113LSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381LSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113LAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 07:40J. Volny1.731111113V. Reska2.006960
O. Kus10
LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890
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