TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13038339
Played Aug 29Finished
Jakub Volny
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119116––––
Vladislav Reska
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Volny to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Volny above · Vladislav Reska below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Volny at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Volny 4–2 Vladislav Reska Vladislav Reska has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:47What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Volny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Volny
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volny 1460 vs Reska 1502
Reska
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volny 60% vs Reska 40%
Volny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volny 40% vs Reska 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volny +3 · Reska +1
Volny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Volny) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 1.73 / Reska 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Volny)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13038339
Volny1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 45 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it100% 14 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36
Reska2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 69 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back22% 15 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVolny4wins
AwayReska2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderVolny leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolny100%4 of 4
AwayReskan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volny4Reska2n = 6Volny took 4 of 6
S2Volny6Reska0n = 6Volny took 6 of 6
S3Volny1Reska5n = 6Reska took 5 of 6
S4Volny4Reska1n = 5Volny took 4 of 5
S5Volny1Reska2n = 3Reska took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricVolnyReskaV − RBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match41.538.7+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnyReskaBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 340 vs 235 / 46747.9%50.3%163 / 340 vs 235 / 467Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyVolny 1.73/Reska 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 29 · 07:40J. Volny—1111113V. Reska—6960
WAug 17 · 21:15J. Volny—111252113V. Reska—910111192
LAug 17 · 17:45J. Volny—911911102V. Reska—114119123
LJun 29 · 17:45J. Volny—711611112V. Reska—118117133
WApr 12 · 14:40J. Volny—11116113V. Reska—491181
WFeb 22 · 19:10J. Volny—11117113V. Reska—681171
J. Volny10
WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981WSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113LSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381LSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113LAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny1.571210118113O. Kus2.25101291162
V. Reska10
WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272WSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780
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