TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081286
Played Sep 5Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117119711811116
Patrik Jokiel
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:39 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Jokiel to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
117119711811116
H2H Vladislav Reska 2–6 Patrik Jokiel Vladislav Reska has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Jokiel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Jokiel
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reska 1507 vs Jokiel 1417
Reska
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 20% vs Jokiel 60%
Jokiel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 60% vs Jokiel 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska +1 · Jokiel +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Reska) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reska form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.85 / Jokiel 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Reska)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13081286
Reska1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Jokiel1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeReska2wins
AwayJokiel6wins
2 of 8 to a deciderJokiel leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReska25%1 of 4
AwayJokiel75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska4Jokiel4n = 8split evenly
S2Reska2Jokiel6n = 8Jokiel took 6 of 8
S3Reska5Jokiel3n = 8Reska took 5 of 8
S4Reska2Jokiel4n = 6Jokiel took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricReskaJokielR − JBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match35.238.9−3.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaJokielBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 477 vs 195 / 41450.5%47.1%241 / 477 vs 195 / 414Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.85/Jokiel 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 23 · 13:40V. Reska—1811113P. Jokiel—16980
LJul 5 · 10:40V. Reska—11911792P. Jokiel—611611113
LApr 3 · 06:40V. Reska—146781P. Jokiel—121111113
LJan 4 · 21:55V. Reska—1151541P. Jokiel—81117113
WJan 4 · 18:45V. Reska—91111113P. Jokiel—116551
LDec 25 · 21:45V. Reska—851131P. Jokiel—11113113
LDec 25 · 20:15V. Reska—3750P. Jokiel—1111113
LDec 24 · 11:10V. Reska—58111162P. Jokiel—111157113
V. Reska10
WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272WSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780WSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481
P. Jokiel10
LSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel1.82111111113T. Ogrocki1.78135891WSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113WSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171LAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551LAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482WAug 31 · 19:10T. Ogrocki1.571281291P. Jokiel2.25101114113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.