TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076622
Played Sep 4Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111181171012117
Vladislav Reska
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:18 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Vladislav Reska below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 97 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Adam Kanak at 56.6%
97 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 1–1 Vladislav Reska Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:18What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1598 vs Reska 1555
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 40% vs Reska 100%
Reska
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 60% vs Reska 90%
Reska
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak -1 · Reska +5
Reska
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reska form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.67 / Reska 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kanak)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13076622
Kanak1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 22 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Reska2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 68 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKanak1wins
AwayReska1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKanakReskaK − RBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match48.551.0−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakReskaBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 79 vs 239 / 47157%50.7%45 / 79 vs 239 / 471Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.67/Reska 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 9 · 19:45A. Kanak—812135102V. Reska—11101111123
WJul 20 · 14:15A. Kanak—1210511113V. Reska—101211862
A. Kanak10
LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140LSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123WSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381WSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892LSep 1 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.61117611113A. Kanak2.2091111972WSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 18:45J. Przybyla1.808121261A. Kanak1.91111410113
V. Reska10
WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113WSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780WSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481
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