TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076696
Played Sep 4Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911811––––
Jakub Volny
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:49 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Jakub Volny below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Adam Kanak at 57.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 3–2 Jakub Volny Jakub Volny has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kanak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1614 vs Volny 1463
Kanak
Wrong
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 80% vs Volny 60%
Kanak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 70% vs Volny 50%
Kanak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +2 · Volny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.67 / Volny 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kanak)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13076696
Kanak1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 22 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Volny2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 48 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKanak3wins
AwayVolny2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKanak leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVolny66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak2Volny3n = 5Volny took 3 of 5
S2Kanak3Volny2n = 5Kanak took 3 of 5
S3Kanak3Volny2n = 5Kanak took 3 of 5
S4Kanak1Volny2n = 3Volny took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKanakVolnyK − VBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match39.835.0+4.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 81 vs 164 / 34258%48%47 / 81 vs 164 / 342Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.67/Volny 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 28 · 12:35A. Kanak—1711981J. Volny—19411113
WAug 28 · 10:10A. Kanak—811137123J. Volny—1141111102
WAug 4 · 10:40A. Kanak—111011113J. Volny—412591
LJul 17 · 13:25A. Kanak—8990J. Volny—1111113
WJul 17 · 09:45A. Kanak—1211113J. Volny—10640
A. Kanak10
LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140LSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123WSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381WSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450WSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272LSep 1 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.61117611113A. Kanak2.2091111972WSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 18:45J. Przybyla1.808121261A. Kanak1.91111410113
J. Volny10
WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981WSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113LSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381LSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113LAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 07:40J. Volny1.731111113V. Reska2.006960WAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny1.571210118113O. Kus2.25101291162
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