TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081695
Played Sep 5Finished
Lukas Kantor
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911911––––
Jakub Volny
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Kantor to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Kantor above · Jakub Volny below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Lukas Kantor at 60.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Kantor 7–5 Jakub Volny Jakub Volny has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kantor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Kantor
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kantor 1523 vs Volny 1498
Kantor
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kantor 40% vs Volny 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kantor 60% vs Volny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kantor +1 · Volny -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kantor) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kantor form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKantor 1.67 / Volny 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kantor)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13081695
Kantor1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 32 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Volny2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 49 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKantor6wins
AwayVolny4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKantor leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKantor85.7%6 of 7
AwayVolny100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kantor7Volny3n = 10Kantor took 7 of 10
S2Kantor5Volny5n = 10split evenly
S3Kantor8Volny2n = 10Kantor took 8 of 10
S4Kantor3Volny3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKantorVolnyK − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.733.5+4.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKantorVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 341 vs 165 / 34550.2%47.8%171 / 341 vs 165 / 345Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KantorKantor 1.67/Volny 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Kantor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 10:40L. Kantor—1111113J. Volny—4670
WAug 26 · 06:15L. Kantor—111012133J. Volny—71210111
WJul 14 · 09:15L. Kantor—111211133J. Volny—6149111
LJul 14 · 07:40L. Kantor—154691J. Volny—131111113
LApr 29 · 07:15L. Kantor—10411111J. Volny—12115133
WApr 16 · 09:20L. Kantor—1111113J. Volny—8740
WApr 16 · 06:40L. Kantor—1111113J. Volny—2760
LFeb 17 · 11:40L. Kantor—661181J. Volny—11117113
LFeb 10 · 07:40L. Kantor—41191172J. Volny—115113113
WFeb 3 · 14:15L. Kantor—1214163J. Volny—1012140
L. Kantor10
LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor2.208890J. Krupnik1.611111113LSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191LSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113WSep 3 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.53911981L. Kantor2.3811611113WSep 3 · 09:08L. Kantor2.1011911113D. Pawlik1.67611891WSep 3 · 07:40D. Pawlik1.50611681L. Kantor2.5011911113LSep 3 · 07:10L. Dzida1.80811118113L. Kantor1.9111371122
J. Volny10
WSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140WSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981LSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381LSep 4 · 17:05J. Volny1.8341151192K. Baros1.83119117113WSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 14:10J. Volny1.911181241K. Baros1.8081114113LAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 07:40J. Volny1.731111113V. Reska2.006960WAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny1.571210118113O. Kus2.25101291162
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