TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13068123
Played Sep 3Finished
Lukas Kantor
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611511117811––
Bruno Mrowetz
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:28 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Kantor above · Bruno Mrowetz below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 58.5%
70 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Kantor 4–3 Bruno Mrowetz Bruno Mrowetz has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mrowetz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kantor 1539 vs Mrowetz 1637
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kantor 80% vs Mrowetz 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kantor 50% vs Mrowetz 70%
Mrowetz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kantor +3 · Mrowetz +2
Kantor
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Mrowetz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrowetz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKantor 2.25 / Mrowetz 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Mrowetz)-0.4pp
TT Cup · #13068123
Kantor2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 60 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Mrowetz1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 70 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it97% 34 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it79% 52 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKantor4wins
AwayMrowetz3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKantor leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKantor66.7%2 of 3
AwayMrowetz50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kantor3Mrowetz4n = 7Mrowetz took 4 of 7
S2Kantor3Mrowetz4n = 7Mrowetz took 4 of 7
S3Kantor3Mrowetz4n = 7Mrowetz took 4 of 7
S4Kantor1Mrowetz4n = 5Mrowetz took 4 of 5
S5Kantor3Mrowetz0n = 3Kantor took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricKantorMrowetzK − MBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match37.338.7−1.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKantorMrowetzBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 337 vs 231 / 46550.5%49.7%170 / 337 vs 231 / 465Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzKantor 2.25/Mrowetz 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mrowetz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 29 · 05:40L. Kantor—6690B. Mrowetz—1111113
LJun 22 · 07:10L. Kantor—114871B. Mrowetz—81111113
WJun 5 · 13:10L. Kantor—111179113B. Mrowetz—99111162
LJun 5 · 11:45L. Kantor—61180B. Mrowetz—1113113
WMay 15 · 07:40L. Kantor—137117113B. Mrowetz—111151152
WMay 5 · 05:45L. Kantor—71111113B. Mrowetz—117481
WApr 16 · 06:10L. Kantor—511118123B. Mrowetz—116511102
L. Kantor10
LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor2.208890J. Krupnik1.611111113LSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191WSep 3 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.53911981L. Kantor2.3811611113WSep 3 · 09:08L. Kantor2.1011911113D. Pawlik1.67611891WSep 3 · 07:40D. Pawlik1.50611681L. Kantor2.5011911113LSep 3 · 07:10L. Dzida1.80811118113L. Kantor1.9111371122
B. Mrowetz10
WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580WSep 5 · 09:16B. Mrowetz1.831181112133M. Macurak1.831311110112WSep 5 · 07:45M. Macurak1.6111541162B. Mrowetz2.20911118113WSep 5 · 07:15J. Przybyla2.25811821B. Mrowetz1.5711511113LSep 5 · 06:15B. Mrowetz1.4411116982D. Pawlik2.63831111113WSep 3 · 13:15B. Mrowetz1.441112113D. Pawlik2.6351060WSep 3 · 11:40J. Krupnik1.83116641B. Mrowetz1.8391111113WSep 3 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.731211113D. Pawlik2.0010250WSep 3 · 09:14D. Jr1.444147101B. Mrowetz2.63111211123
Upcoming Matches
L. Kantor
Nothing scheduled
B. Mrowetz
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.