TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067217
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911116911811––
Lukas Kantor
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:48 and never touched — 67.0% is still 67.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
67.0%
67.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 67.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 10–5 Lukas Kantor Lukas Kantor has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Krupnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-5 in 15
Krupnik
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1628 vs Kantor 1524
Krupnik
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 80% vs Kantor 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 80% vs Kantor 50%
Krupnik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik +2 · Kantor +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Krupnik) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kantor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.53 / Kantor 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Krupnik)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13067217
Krupnik1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 150 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it96% 67 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it72% 106 of 147
Kantor2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 60 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik6wins
AwayKantor4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKrupnik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik80%4 of 5
AwayKantor60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik5Kantor5n = 10split evenly
S2Krupnik8Kantor2n = 10Krupnik took 8 of 10
S3Krupnik4Kantor6n = 10Kantor took 6 of 10
S4Krupnik3Kantor4n = 7Kantor took 4 of 7
S5Krupnik3Kantor1n = 4Krupnik took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikKantorKrupnik − KantorBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.839.6+2.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 832 vs 169 / 33651.3%50.3%427 / 832 vs 169 / 336Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.53/Kantor 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.2%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kantor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 28 · 09:19J. Krupnik—1311113L. Kantor—11970
WJul 28 · 05:45J. Krupnik—771111113L. Kantor—11116182
WJun 26 · 06:40J. Krupnik—413811133L. Kantor—1111119112
WJun 15 · 08:40J. Krupnik—1111814113L. Kantor—47111662
WJun 15 · 08:10J. Krupnik—1111123L. Kantor—49100
LJun 11 · 08:50J. Krupnik—1612111162L. Kantor—1810136113
LJun 11 · 05:45J. Krupnik—911561L. Kantor—11611113
LJun 1 · 09:20J. Krupnik—1411691L. Kantor—121311113
WJun 1 · 07:15J. Krupnik—1111123L. Kantor—98100
LMay 25 · 08:10J. Krupnik—911981L. Kantor—11811113
J. Krupnik10
WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181LSep 4 · 09:40M. Macurak1.77611911113J. Krupnik1.8711811882LSep 4 · 09:09M. Macurak1.91611911113J. Krupnik1.8011811882
L. Kantor10
LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor2.208890J. Krupnik1.611111113LSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191LSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113WSep 3 · 09:08L. Kantor2.1011911113D. Pawlik1.67611891WSep 3 · 07:40D. Pawlik1.50611681L. Kantor2.5011911113LSep 3 · 07:10L. Dzida1.80811118113L. Kantor1.9111371122
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