TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13080353
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116119711711115
Jan Krupnik
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:19 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 10-5
Point 88 set 5, 10-5 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 56.2%
88 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jan Skvrna 32–25 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 25 of their 57 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:19What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skvrna
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-25 in 57
Skvrna
Correct
gap of 7 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1655 vs Krupnik 1611
Skvrna
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 60% vs Krupnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 50% vs Krupnik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna -1 · Krupnik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupnik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.67 / Krupnik 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Skvrna)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13080353
Skvrna1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 225 of 382
Up 2–0, closes it96% 75 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it74% 157 of 213
Krupnik2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 107 of 220
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna5wins
AwayKrupnik5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna60%3 of 5
AwayKrupnik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna5Krupnik5n = 10split evenly
S2Skvrna4Krupnik6n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S3Skvrna4Krupnik6n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S4Skvrna6Krupnik3n = 9Skvrna took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaKrupnikS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.439.40.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 779 vs 434 / 84757.9%51.2%451 / 779 vs 434 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.67/Krupnik 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 07:40J. Skvrna—118491J. Krupnik—81111113
WAug 16 · 16:44J. Skvrna—1110911113J. Krupnik—11211872
LAug 16 · 14:45J. Skvrna—13710111J. Krupnik—111112133
WJul 23 · 13:15J. Skvrna—11114113J. Krupnik—741171
WJul 23 · 10:15J. Skvrna—121011113J. Krupnik—1012881
WJul 15 · 11:40J. Skvrna—81111113J. Krupnik—119841
LJul 11 · 16:15J. Skvrna—7960J. Krupnik—1111113
LJul 8 · 13:10J. Skvrna—9129101J. Krupnik—111011123
WJul 8 · 12:10J. Skvrna—71212113J. Krupnik—11101061
LJun 29 · 07:40J. Skvrna—75131262J. Krupnik—11111110113
J. Skvrna10
LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113LSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681WSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113WSep 4 · 15:15K. Kleprlik1.8381111682J. Skvrna1.83115911113
J. Krupnik10
WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181LSep 4 · 09:40M. Macurak1.77611911113J. Krupnik1.8711811882LSep 4 · 09:09M. Macurak1.91611911113J. Krupnik1.8011811882WSep 4 · 07:40J. Skvrna1.73118491J. Krupnik2.0081111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.