TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13087347
Played Sep 6Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1189111412411711
Erik Precek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Erik Precek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 98 set 5, 7-11
98 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 17–9 Erik Precek Erik Precek has won 9 of their 26 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvrna form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.57 / Precek 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Skvrna)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13087347
Skvrna1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 228 of 386
Up 2–0, closes it96% 77 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it74% 160 of 216
Precek2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 66 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna8wins
AwayPrecek2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna100%5 of 5
AwayPrecek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna5Precek5n = 10split evenly
S2Skvrna8Precek2n = 10Skvrna took 8 of 10
S3Skvrna5Precek5n = 10split evenly
S4Skvrna5Precek2n = 7Skvrna took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaPrecekS − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.136.0+3.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaPrecekBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 784 vs 212 / 45357.9%46.8%454 / 784 vs 212 / 453Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.57/Precek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Precek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna—131112113E. Precek—1551071
WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna—115129113E. Precek—911101192
WJul 16 · 13:15J. Skvrna—1511113E. Precek—13990
WJul 16 · 09:40J. Skvrna—11113113E. Precek—831161
WJul 14 · 09:45J. Skvrna—11118113E. Precek—961161
LJul 12 · 14:10J. Skvrna—612851E. Precek—111011113
WJul 10 · 12:50J. Skvrna—1111113E. Precek—6980
LJul 10 · 10:45J. Skvrna—51190E. Precek—1113113
WJun 23 · 11:10J. Skvrna—8111111113E. Precek—11913752
WJun 14 · 08:15J. Skvrna—71211113E. Precek—1110961
J. Skvrna10
LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113WSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152LSep 5 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.6171180M. Macurak2.201113113WSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LSep 4 · 17:10D. Skulina1.3611611113J. Skvrna3.00511681WSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113WSep 4 · 15:15K. Kleprlik1.8381111682J. Skvrna1.83115911113
E. Precek10
LSep 6 · 12:15L. Slavik1.801111113E. Precek1.916990WSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092LSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071LSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261WSep 5 · 12:15M. Macurak1.618770E. Precek2.201111113LSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53115129113E. Precek2.38911101192LAug 30 · 08:49L. Dzida2.201111113E. Precek1.616870LAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133LAug 30 · 06:45E. Precek2.20114861K. Kleprlik1.6191111113
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